The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balfour: AI won't master qualitative product nuances or user psychology
“The things that don't change, right, that I don't think AI is going to really help you with that much is understanding, like, all of these qualitative underpinnings of your product, of your use case, of your problem, of your natural frequency, and then the psy…”
Brian Balfour Aug 16, 2023 ▶ 48:50 Brian Balfour: Startup Growth Secrets from HubSpot; Distribution Stratagies; Impact of AI | E1049 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balfour: AI will automate routine growth tactics and quantitative analyses
“I think the surface level tactics and systems will definitely change a lot. So I would say like a lot of these analyses that, you know, seven years ago, eight years ago were sort of leading edge things like Finding what your habit and aha moment are, for examp…”
Brian Balfour Aug 16, 2023 ▶ 47:20 Brian Balfour: Startup Growth Secrets from HubSpot; Distribution Stratagies; Impact of AI | E1049 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Balfour: Twitter daily active users will stay flat at 250M
“Yeah, I chose, they're flat. I think Twitter's flat, two fifty million.”
Brian Balfour Aug 16, 2023 ▶ 1:04:05 Brian Balfour: Startup Growth Secrets from HubSpot; Distribution Stratagies; Impact of AI | E1049 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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