The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Billy Hult predicts Donald Trump will win the presidential election
“I think he will, and I, you know, it starts with he can, but I think it ends with he will.”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 59:45 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hult: Bear Stearns succeeded by prioritizing grit and street smarts over pedigree
“When I grew up like in the bond trading world where, you know, Bear Stearns had like tremendous levels of respect, right? And really talented people. And they like lived in that ethos of what you're describing. Like, it's not about pedigree. It's not about pol…”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 55:12 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hult: Tradeweb built its business through organic growth, not M&A
“So my company TradeWeb has, you know, largely gotten to where we are today through a lot of like really good sort of, you know, organic investments and organic growth. Right. So we are not some company that's arrived here through lots of like M&A.”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 18:22 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hult: Tradeweb is the electronic interface connecting Citadel and Goldman
“Like we're the, you know, we're the electronic interface that connects like Citadel and Goldman.”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 22:40 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Billy Hult was inside the World Trade Center on 9/11
“My company was on the 51st floor of the North Tower. I was in the building on nine 11 that day.”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 56:36 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Billy Hult worked as an off-track betting clerk in the South Bronx
“My first job, and it was like You know, for sure either end of high school or kind of early college, kind of one of those summer jobs, was working Harry at a place they called, like, OTBs. It was off-track betting a place where people would go in back in the e…”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 3:23 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Billy Hult experiences nerves in board meetings outside his comfort zone
“If I was doing like CNBC, I wouldn't feel nervous. If I'm doing an earnings call, I won't feel nervous. You know, maybe that's like everything's going well. That helps. But sometimes when I'm doing a part of, and I'll wind up having a bunch of board members pr…”
Billy Hult Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 30:45 Billy Hult: 27 Years of Compounding Growth Leading to the Market Leader with $1.4BN in Revenue|E1134 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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