why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
VCs wrongly expect first-time founders to be market-ready immediately
“I don't think anyone's market ready from the get go. I think it's a flawed assumption with VCs where they try to imagine that, that these first time founders or any founders are going to just figure it all out.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
A new breakout consumer mobile company will emerge in 2016 or 2017
“If history is a guide, you know, this year, next year, we're going to see a breakout in a brand new company.”
Insight
Startups needing under $2M in deficit financing should not raise VC
“I think if your company needs probably, you know, less than a million or two million dollars of deficit financing to accomplish the mission, You know, you shouldn't raise venture capital for that.”
Insight
First-time founders possess a unique audacity and fearlessness
“I think first time founders have a level of audacity that, you know, sometimes more experienced people don't have because they, they're just, there's no fear.”
Insight
Founder vision and instincts matter more than academic pedigree
“And I also, I've just never bought into this kind of elitist way of thinking about like where you went to school You know, where you work, you know, whether you work at Google or, you know, Apple or something, it's more of, you know, what's your idea? What, wh…”
Opinion
Bijan Sabet favors VR over AR as an investment sector
“Yes. I mean, yes. If I have to pick one, I pick VR over AR, but AR, AR is certainly interesting.”
Opinion
Investing in post-bubble consumer tech was non-obvious in the mid-2000s
“The idea of backing entrepreneurs that were first-time entrepreneurs after the bubble burst in consumer, you know, right now it seems very obvious, but I can tell you at the time, it wasn't obvious.”
Assertion Supported
Twitter had under 250,000 daily active users when Spark Capital invested
“There was less than 250,000 daily active users.”
Opinion
No other platform matches Twitter's viral retweet distribution model
“This is a very unique distribution platform where things like retweets and things like that can take a piece of content or information and spread it in a way that no other platform, you know, could do or at the time, certainly, and even today, I don't think ot…”
Opinion
David Karp became a great CEO after hiring Derek Godfrey
“David Karp's CEO chops went from good to great when he brought in Derek Godfrey to run engineering.”
Opinion
Facebook is more likely to acquire breakout products than build them
“There's a higher chance that there's a breakout that Facebook wants to buy than Facebook creates themselves.”
Opinion
Google offers enormous utility but is not a fun product
“Google has enormous utility, but I don't think Google's was, is a fun product.”
Assertion Partly supported
Tumblr operated with just two employees for its first two years
“David Karp, you know, 19, he starts Tumblr, and him and another fellow named Marco Arment, you know, for two years, just two of them were working on it, and they had the ability just to focus on the product.”
Disclosure
Spark Capital was the first investor in Oculus
“We're the first investor in Oculus”
Disclosure
Bijan Sabet makes only one to two new investments annually
“I don't make a lot of investments. I make one to two new investments a year.”