The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Lehmann: Screenless dedicated AI inference computers will be in every home
“I think when it comes to AI and personal AI, we may be at a moment in time where there is an opportunity for a new computer, a new type of computer that we may see in every home. A computer that runs your own personal AI on a chip that does not have to be as p…”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 49:51 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Lehmann: AI startups created today will grow larger than tech incumbents
“There will be companies born today that will be larger in the field of AI. Then the companies that are the largest companies that we have today, and they will start as toys and they will start as something that is probably overlooked and something that is not …”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 55:42 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lehmann: Apple Vision Pro will have record high returns and fail
“This will be the first product for Apple where they have more returns than they have on any other metric You. You can plot the graph, and it's since Steve Jobs came back, this is probably the first thing that is a turd.”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 58:38 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lehmann: Smartphones have reached the peak of their societal importance
“So when I call it dead I don't call it dead in the sense of we won't use it anymore, but I think it has reached the peak of its importance in people's lives.”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 54:04 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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