The Ledger
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Schuler: Up to 50% of tech IPOs will be flat or down
“So you'll see, I think, flat and down IPO rounds. Maybe up to 50% of the companies that are out there.”
Schuler: Exclusive machine-to-machine trading will cause financial markets to fail
“When machines start trading with each other, the markets will disappear because We need the uncertainty of humans to make those markets, markets work.”
Schuler: Public multiple expansion after high private valuations is extremely rare
“In the old days, the momentum of the growth period of a stock happened in the public markets. They're happening in the private market. So to expect someone to have a huge multiple on the private phase and then go into the public markets and have a huge multipl…”
Schuler: Only about 70 institutional investors buy first-day tech IPOs
“At least in the U S public markets, the amount of institutional investors who like to buy First day, tech stocks has become very small. There's a handful of banks that take them out. We know who they all are, and there's, you know, about 70 institutional inves…”
Schuler: Facebook went public overpriced and took years to recover
“If you're overvalued, and they really kind of force the issue out, you can see problems like Facebook experienced, you know, when they went out overpriced problems in the market, and it took them a couple of years of performing well before they straightened it…”
Schuler: Low-traction late-stage unicorns will be acquired at down-round valuations
“The last group in that bulge are our companies that run out of the capital they've raised. They've not gotten the traction in the marketplace that they had hoped to. They still have value, and they're still important, and I would expect you'll see that smart a…”