why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Avi Meir: Business travel in 2021 will surpass 2019 levels
“I'm willing to bet That business travel will grow in twenty-twenty-one. Not based on twenty-twenty, based on twenty-nineteen.”
Prediction Held up
Meir in 2019: Tesla will become a $1 trillion company
“I believe that Tesla will be a trillion dollar company.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Meir: TravelPerk will be the top global business travel platform by 2025
“We probably will be the number one business travel platform globally in the next five years.”
Prediction Partly held up
Avi Meir: Rail bookings will exceed domestic flights during travel recovery
“Rail will be bigger than flights, at least by the number of bookings, because it's just more convenient to travel domestically, in many cases, in train versus flight.”
Prediction Held up
Meir: First-round venture funding for travel startups is dead for a while
“First money into travel company, probably dead for a while.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Meir: Investors who mistreat founders quickly lose reputation because founders talk
“We do talk, and something for investors to note, I think, is everybody knows it, but I think it's important to remind everybody that we talk between us, right? Don't screw entrepreneurs because everybody will know, right?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Meir: Cutting workforce capacity too deeply will delay post-pandemic rebuilding
“As I said, it's going to end, and people will go back to traveling, and I don't want to lose 12 months after lockdowns are lifted in rebuilding the capacity, rebuilding the muscle that we have lost if we went and did too deep of a cut.”
Prediction Held up
Avi Meir: Domestic business travel will recover faster than international travel
“Domestic travel will emerge faster and sooner than international travel.”
Prediction Held up
Meir: TravelPerk is the last company he will ever work for
“Travelpeak is the last company I'm going to work for.”