The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Andrew Ng: Artificial general intelligence is decades or longer away
“So this phantom AGI, someday with AI, they can do everything a human can do. I think we're very far away from that. I would say, you know, like decades away, maybe even longer.”
Andrew Ng: AI will make intelligence cheap and boost GDP growth
“I hope we can get much closer to five, six or more percent GDP growth. When looking at the future, it turns out one of the most expensive things in today's world is intelligence. This is why it's so expensive, at least in the US, to hire a highly skilled docto…”
Andrew Ng: Enterprise AI adoption and building will take over a decade
“I actually think that a decade from now, we will still be working to identify Valuable applications and enterprises and building them. Having said that, we will make a lot of progress over the next one or two years, but we're not going to be done, you know, ev…”
Andrew Ng: Writing code by hand is becoming obsolete due to AI
“Writing code by hand is becoming obsolete, right? Oh, really don't do that. Not, but they get AI to write code for you.”
Andrew Ng: AI will transition from vertical integration to horizontal standards
“So when an industry is immature, it turns out where to draw those boundaries to let different participants do their part and have it still interoperate. That's less clear. But then as the industry matures in this You know, more standards for if I want to publi…”
Andrew Ng: AI coding tools foreshadow AI adoption in other job functions
“I often look at AI coding assistance as a harbinger for what might happen to other job functions as well, as the AI marketing tools become more efficient, as the AI recruiting tools become more efficient, the AI finance tools become more efficient. So I often …”