why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bialecki: AI Surrogates Will Soon Conduct Podcast Conversations for People
“I do think we're not far off from, you know, you and I could have this conversation and it's actually neither of us that are here present. It's just, but it's us, right? It's, you know, whatever's going on in our brains kind of hooked up.”
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Seed Round Was Raised at a 20x ARR Valuation
“So, you know, I remember asking, I was like, hey, look, I know 10 X is the normal thing. Can we do 20 X? And again, we wasn't really scientific and yeah, I mean, this seed investor we were working with just said, yeah, sure. That sounds good.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bialecki: Klaviyo has at least 10x expansion potential remaining
“So when we think about, you know, all the people that we can help plus the other applications, plus the fact we can make them better at using each of those applications, That trifecta, I think there's, you know, at least a 10 X, probably a lot more in there.”
Assertion Partly supported
Bialecki: Klaviyo Waited 10 Years Before Making Its First Price Change
“We did our first price increase, like, basically since we, or first price change you know what was it? I guess last year and that was, like, the first one in, like, 10 years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bialecki: Mailchimp's Exit From Shopify Was Not a Step-Change for Klaviyo
“I think that event, you know, we ran some analytics on this, I think, you know, a while, while ago, and there was definitely there was a bump, but I think people were surprised at how much there was kind of already these big, huge tailwinds and that, you know,…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bialecki: Future software will run autonomously without human operators
“I think so much of soft, the software of the future, it's gonna be able to, you know, play itself. We think about software that is actually, you use it better because you don't have to be the user.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bialecki: Software will sell direct outputs over tools within 10-20 years
“I think that's generally the right direction. I'm maybe a little skeptical of how fast, you know, we get there. But I do think if you fast forward, you know, 1020 years, I think there's a lot of processes where, yeah, hey, I just need the output.”
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Took 36 Months to Reach $1M in ARR
“For us, we started on January first of 20 12. In year one, we got to a couple thousand dollars in MRR. So say maybe 20,000 dollars in ARR. In year two, we got to a quarter of a million dollars in ARR, which was a huge jump, but we were still, you know, I think…”
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Raised a $1.5 Million Seed Round Around $1M ARR
“We raised a million and a half dollars and we weren't super, you know formulaic about it.”
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Scaled to $50M–$60M ARR Before Raising Post-Seed Funding
“We went like a bunch of years where we probably scaled to about, I think it was around 50,000,060 million in ARR before we raised our next rounds.”
Assertion Partly supported
Bialecki: Klaviyo Raised Series A, B, and C Rounds From Single Investors
“When we did our series A, B, C, it was all one investor. By the time you get to the roadshow, you're kind of back to like these party rounds where there's going to be lots of people you're raising from.”