The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Angelopoulos: Kimi K3 Beat Top US Closed Models in Web Development
“And for the first time ever, we saw a couple of weeks ago that Kimi K three actually beat the best closed source American models on a, you know, pretty important subset of tasks, for example, front end coding, like web development, which a huge fraction of dev…”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 3:00 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Assertion Supported
Angelopoulos: Most global AI inference spend remains on proprietary first-party APIs
“If you look at the whole space of all inference, most of it is still being consumed on first party APIs and on proprietary models. That's why anthropic revenue has been just a total hockey stick. It's not, you know, it's not like they're being completely canni…”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 5:44 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Assertion Supported
Angelopoulos: Arena has 30M+ monthly visitors, bigger than Hugging Face and xAI
“People don't know this, but Arena's one of the largest consumer AI apps in the world. We're bigger than, like, XAI. We're bigger than, like, Hugging Face, and Manus, and GenSpark, where it's so massive, like if you, like outside in, it's like 30 plus million m…”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 49:46 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Assertion Supported
Angelopoulos: Chinese AI labs face severe hardware constraints and rely on black-market chips
“So they're way hardware constrained over there. And they've been trying to like black market import chips because of this. And you see this in the news, right? The information just reported on this.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 14:01 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Assertion Supported
Angelopoulos: Google's Gemma sits on the performance-versus-cost Pareto curve
“Gemma, by the way, is pretty good in terms of efficiency. If you look at arena, you'll see the, on the Pareto curves of like performance versus cost. Gemma's on there.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 24:37 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Assertion Supported
Angelopoulos: Harvey's CEO views model labs as his biggest competitive worry
“Harvey, the CEO of Harvey himself is saying that, you know, his biggest competitive worry is the model labs.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 56:44 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
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