The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
A New AI Paradigm Will Displace Notion and Google Docs
“It probably something will come and destroy Notion and Google Docs and all of them with a totally new paradigm that is made possible by AI, and certainly these incumbents won't do it.”
Lebrun: AI-native startups will displace incumbents across all industries within five years
“I think AI will enable a new generation of players in every industry that will kill the incumbents eventually.”
Alex LeBrun: AI Paradigms Will Eventually Displace Notion and Google Docs
“Probably something will Come and destroy Notion and Google Docs and all of them with a totally new paradigm that is made possible by AI.”
No AI Models in Use Today Will Be Used in One Year
“Absolutely agree with that. You know, will you drive the car you drive today in 10 years? I don't think so. And 10 years in car industry is like one week in machine learning gravity zone. And so there is, of course, there is so much progress so fast That I don…”
Lebrun: Startups with billions in funding can match OpenAI's capabilities
“I think a new startup with enough talent and enough money, and when I say enough money, I'm talking about billions, just to be clear, then I'm sure you can do as, at least as well as OpenAI.”
Lebrun: Open-source foundational AI models will win over closed models
“Open, obviously. You know, LLM are AI in general is an infrastructure in the future, and like every infrastructure, I'm just paraphrasing Jan, but is, is open. Open wins always with infrastructure. And so obviously I think the financial, the foundational model…”
Lebrun: AI founders no longer need to be in Silicon Valley
“The talent is very, very distributed. It will get more distributed, and I think you should get close to your customers.”
Lebrun: Strict Immigration Restrictions Will Eventually Harm US AI Dominance
“Immigration may be laws, may be something that will be a problem eventually in the US because the talent is so distributed with the new, you know, you can learn deep learning very easily from everywhere in the world on a tablet today, and it will be more and m…”
Lebrun: AI Will Replace Humans for Macro Operational Decision-Making
“I also think that at the higher level, decisions that require a big picture of the data, you know, large, large view will be taken by AI, not by people.”
Lebrun: Companies will continuously switch between LLMs to remain competitive
“It's how it will work, of course. You have, you know, every two weeks, incredible things coming out of research, and if you just assume it's a static, in a year from now, your product will be very dumb compared to your competitor's products. Or more expensive …”