The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Wenger: The collapse of FTX will be a temporary blip for crypto
“I think it'll be a blip in the long term, and it'll be a blip, you know, much like, you know, web van imploding, or a flooz.com, or whatever, you know, pick your favorite .com, you know, thing that imploded.”
Wenger: Tech downturn will bring back pay-to-play structures and startup failures
“We'll see all sorts of structure and pay to play and everything else, but we'll also just see some businesses just blow up and people will be like, you know what, I've got better things to do.”
Wenger: Political effort to preserve industrial age will worsen societal transition
“I think it's politicians misreading where we are and trying to keep us in the industrial, trying to fix the industrial age that is going to make this transition bad.”
Wenger predicts politicians will get elected on radical climate platforms
“And I believe that climate will be that kind of thing. It'll go from something where politicians feel, oh, I can't really talk about it. There's not enough voters. I'm not going to get elected and so forth. I think it's going to go from that to something where…”
Wenger: Service automation will shift human work toward knowledge and caretaking
“And now I think we can automate a lot of, not just industrial production, but also a lot of services whether that's shopping services or insurance services or transportation services. We can now automate those and that will free us up to participate more in kn…”
Wenger predicts only a small number of self-driving car companies will survive
“If you think about self-driving cars, how many self-driving car companies will there ultimately be? It's probably not a large number, and so if you're in the installation phase, you know, you have to get very lucky to pick the winner, and then even within pick…”