why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Babayigit: 35% of early Facebook mobile revenue came from three Russian developers
“There was a period of time when I think 30 Five percent of Facebook's mobile revenue was coming from like three developers in Russia at the time”
Assertion Contradicted
Babayigit: Japan's Pachinko industry generates more revenue than the Japanese auto industry
“The average revenue per year From pachinko is larger than the Japanese auto industry, which is several hundred billion dollars a year, right?”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Babayigit: AI reduced Tripledot's 3D character modeling time from days to minutes
“Yes. So we have, we use AI driven tools that You know, enable us to, you know, increase our productivity dramatically. So we use tools that, you know, in the old days, it might have taken us X days to build a three D model of character to be used in a game. An…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Babayigit: Lower foreign tax rates will not tempt him to leave the UK
“It's not tempting enough to upset the settled lifestyle that I created for my children, right? My children are very British, which is hilarious thinking about it now, but they are very British, and they have friends here, they have schools here, my wife loves …”
Assertion Partly supported
Babayigit: Gaming companies trade at 3-4x revenue versus SaaS at 10-30x
“Gaming companies are valued, you know, three, four times revenues, you know, whatever, future looking, backward looking, however you want to do it, right? Roughly. Whereas Software as a service company can be anywhere between 10, 20, 30.”
Assertion Supported
Babayigit: Farmville sold more virtual tractors daily than real-world global sales
“I read a statistic somewhere that there was more tractors being sold in a day on Farmville than anywhere else in the world combined.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Babayigit: Over 90% of Facebook revenue comes from mobile app ads
“And Facebook invented a new type of ad unit called the mobile app, mobile ads at the time, but really it was mobile app ads. And fast forward to this day is 90 plus percent of Facebook's revenue is, is coming from that.”
Assertion Supported
Babayigit: Gaming is larger than the movie and film industries combined
“There's a lot of things you'd listen to around saying, like, gaming is bigger than movies and films combined, right? That's a very real thing.”