why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Lloyd: The VC trope that product quality is not a moat is false
“I feel like there's like a VC trope right now around like, well, product's not a moat. I think that that's like kind of bullshit, especially when everyone else in the market has the same product.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Zach Lloyd: Warp is adding $1M in net new ARR weekly
“We're now adding a million net new ARR every week, or even less. Honestly, recently it's accelerating.”
Assertion Supported
Lloyd: Warp has 700,000 users, outpacing Claude Code and OpenAI Codex
“We have way, way more users than Cloud Code, for instance, or Codex. We have 700,000 users because we've been doing this for Five years.”
Disclosure
Lloyd: Sequoia led a $50M Series B in pre-revenue Warp
“That was a fifty million dollar round.”
Disclosure
Lloyd: Every coding task at Warp starts with a prompt
“And so every single coding task we do starts with a prompt, which is the big shift in productivity that's happening right now.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lloyd: Warp will reach 1M active developer users this year
“I think we'll hit a million active users, active developers this year, and we're, and now obviously we're growing our revenue super duper fast”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lloyd: Sequoia connected Warp to CrowdStrike's president within hours of an issue
“And so I reached out to Andrew. I was like, can you help me here? And then that day I was on the phone with the president of CrowdStrike.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Warp raised over $70M from Sequoia, GV, and Marc Benioff
“They've raised over seventy million dollars from the likes of Sequoia, GV, Dylan Field, Elad Gill, and even the legend that is Mark Benioff.”