The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Morin details profit margins across TSMC, Nvidia, and cloud providers
“Nvidia, like a TSMC sells you at 60% margin. Nvidia sells you at, you know, 90% margin. And on top of that, there's Amazon that takes, let's say a 30% margin.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 15:30 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia and TSMC Have No Written Contract Despite 30-Year Partnership
“You have the NVIDIA relationship with TSMC, which famously, they don't even have a written contract. They've dealt with each other for 30 years.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 1:21:46 Should the US Ban Chinese Open-Source Models | OpenRouter's Chance To Sell | Stripe Buying PayPal
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: TSMC raising CapEx budget to $50B amid infinite AI demand
“They just did their earnings call, and the comment was, you know, basically, demand for compute is effectively infinite right now, and they're raising their capex. Remember, these are not kind of, these are folks who say, I'm going to spend fifty billion dolla…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 33:03 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Grimm: TSMC's Arizona plant yields are slightly outperforming its Taiwan factories
“We're already seeing the early results at the TSMC plant in Arizona that has some pretty good yields that are Slightly outperforming the yields of their Taiwan factories.”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 7:00 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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