The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Galloway: On Tinder, 46 of 50 women focus on four men
“If there's 50 men on Tinder and 50 women on Tinder, 46 of the women will show all of their attention exclusively to just four men. Leaving 46 men to fight over four women.”
Scott Galloway Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 23:09 Scott Galloway on Billionaire Happiness, Money & Self-Worth | Why We Should Drink More & Not WFH · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Sean Rad: Tinder enforced a rule to redesign the entire app yearly
“When I was there, when the team was there, we had a rule that every year we had to redesign the entire product because we didn't want people to get bored and stagnant, and we didn't want to become complacent as a team.”
Sean Rad Sep 9, 2024 ▶ 0:07 Sean Rad: Lessons Scaling Tinder to the Fastest Growing Consumer Social App in History | E1199 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
New breakout consumer mobile companies will emerge soon
“And I think you'll see new companies emerge. Is it going to happen this year? Is it going to happen next year? It's going to happen soon. It hasn't happened since Snapchat, right? They're the Snapchat, Tinder are the last big consumer companies to emerge. Thos…”
David Tisch Jan 11, 2016 ▶ 20:26 20 VC: David Tisch @ Box Group on The Future of Consumer Mobile, Developing Pattern Recognition and FOMO
Assertion Contradicted
Sean Rad: Tinder had higher user retention than social media platforms
“And by the way, we have fucking phenomenal retention. You know, we had retentive powers beyond social media platforms.”
Sean Rad Sep 9, 2024 ▶ 19:21 Sean Rad: Lessons Scaling Tinder to the Fastest Growing Consumer Social App in History | E1199 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Lanzone: Over 10% of US marriages originate from Tinder
“It's over 10% of all marriages come from Tinder, which is different than its reputation, and I've seen it.”
Jim Lanzone Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 54:53 Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone: The Yahoo Turnaround Plan | 20VC #911 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Tinder funded a USC college party requiring app downloads for entry
“So we told her, we're like, look, we'll, we'll pay for the party. We'll throw the party. But in exchange under one condition you have to do it at another location. So we shuttled all the students to another location where we had a bigger venue and we can invit…”
Sean Rad Sep 9, 2024 ▶ 10:08 Sean Rad: Lessons Scaling Tinder to the Fastest Growing Consumer Social App in History | E1199 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Norgard: Tinder succeeded by stripping dating down to a photo and binary opt-in
“One of the interesting stories around Tinder was just Radical simplicity. It brought the online dating pretender. You had to fill out all these forms and menus, and you had to talk about future goals and whether you like long walks on the beach. And I remember…”
Brian Norgard Jul 26, 2019 ▶ 10:39 20VC: Former Tinder CPO Brian Norgard on His Biggest Product Takeaways from Launching the Top Grossing App in the World, The Top 10 Reasons Why Products Fail Today & How The Best Founders Assess Risk and Use It
Assertion Partly supported
Nortman recruited Sean Rad to IAC before he created Tinder
“I went in and recruited Sean Radd into IAC and gave him his first business plan, which turned into something completely different. It wasn't Tinder. He took it and very much made it his own, but it was something I got involved with the day-to-day of in the fir…”
Kara Nortman Dec 7, 2016 ▶ 8:36 20VC: How To Assess Founder Psychology, Why Talking About Financial Returns In The First Meeting Is Always Wrong & How To Allocate Time Amongst A VC Portfolio with Kara Nortman, Partner @ Upfront Ventures
Assertion Supported
Tinder's launch text campaign generated 700 signups from 500 contacts
“And I think in total we texted 500 people. Over the course of a few days We had, I think it was like, 700 signups.”
Sean Rad Sep 9, 2024 ▶ 7:48 Sean Rad: Lessons Scaling Tinder to the Fastest Growing Consumer Social App in History | E1199 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Tinder created over $11B in market value in under three years
“In less than three years, Tinder created over eleven billion dollars in market value, and with Brian's creation of Tinder Gold, Superlike, and Boost, the platform has seen over two hundred million downloads, and created millions of matches.”
Harry Stebbings Jul 26, 2019 ▶ 0:25 20VC: Former Tinder CPO Brian Norgard on His Biggest Product Takeaways from Launching the Top Grossing App in the World, The Top 10 Reasons Why Products Fail Today & How The Best Founders Assess Risk and Use It
Assertion Supported
Tinder became the world's top-grossing app under Jeff Morris Jr.
“When asked to lead the revenue team, they were ranked number 17 in the App Store. Within a year, under Jeff's leadership, Tinder became the number one top-grossing app in the world.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 19, 2018 ▶ 0:45 20VC: Investing Lessons From Observing Doug Leone and Bill Gurley, Why It Is Easier To Be Contrarian As A VC Than As An Angel & What It Takes To Run Tinder's Product and Revenue Alongside A Seed Fund with Jeff Morris Jr, Founder @ Chapter One
Assertion Supported
Tinder facilitated over 26 million matches daily as of May 2017
“Every single day, there are more than twenty-six million matches made on Tinder.”
Harry Stebbings May 26, 2017 ▶ 0:28 20VC: Tinder's Sean Rad on Why Humility Is The Key Trait For Founders To Have, Why Today's Incumbents Are Stronger Than Any Before Them & How Leaders Need To Scale With The Scaling Of Their Company
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