The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Riparbelli: By 2027, anyone will create Hollywood films from a laptop
“In 10 years, you're gonna be able to make a Hollywood film from your laptop, needing nothing else than your imagination.”
Victor Riparbelli Jan 15, 2025 ▶ 2:37 Victor Riparbelli, CEO @Synthesia: OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai - Who Wins and Why | E1246 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2027
Riparbelli: AI video will be indistinguishable from real video within years
“You could make, you know, a video of you talking about something in a couple of years, no one will be able to tell if it's actually real or not, but it won't really matter that much. What matters is that you made it right and that whatever you say in that vide…”
Victor Riparbelli Jan 15, 2025 ▶ 50:28 Victor Riparbelli, CEO @Synthesia: OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai - Who Wins and Why | E1246 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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