The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Stebbings: AI data providers Handshake, Mercor, and Surge each surpass $1B revenue
“There's so many providers at a billion dollars plus in revenue. Handshake's over a billion. McCaw's over a billion. Serge is over a billion.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 43:26 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Assertion Supported
Mercor pays $95 per hour compared to $30 at Scale and Surge
“Our average marketplace pay rate is 95 dollars an hour to put that in frame of reference, scale and search generally pay about 30 dollars an hour.”
Brendan Foody Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 0:27 Mercor CEO & Co-Founder, Brendan Foody: How They Grew from $1M to $500M in 17 Months · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Surge AI is the largest player in RLHF data
“Surge is the largest player in RLHF”
Brendan Foody Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 58:58 Mercor CEO & Co-Founder, Brendan Foody: How They Grew from $1M to $500M in 17 Months · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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