why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Snyk has $300M ARR growing at 15% at $7B valuation
“Your sneaks. Amazing security business that's got great customers who love it, But it was valued at seven billion dollars, and it's now three hundred million ARR growing 15%.”
Disclosure
Guy Podjarny took out nine figures in secondary liquidity from Snyk
“I sold about a third of my ownership, and it's in nine figures.”
Opinion
Podjarny: Snyk's brand power is not a sustainable competitive advantage
“So Snyk has a certain amount of brand power. You know, there's a certain amount of like fairy dust, sort of DevOps fairy dust that all the security companies want. You know, there's a certain amount of that, that the people believe, but it's not a sustainable …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: Snyk would rather fail than pivot to traditional security buyers
“I would rather crash and burn than pivot to just sort of focusing on the security audience in that, like, I don't want to build just another slightly better must trap. I want to build something that matters.”
Insight
Stebbings: Allocating reserves based on early traction misses generational enterprise companies
“What's working often is unsustainable, and it's your sneaks, your figmas, your big IDs, which actually may take a bit longer. But you wouldn't allocate to them if you were doing it on traction.”
What-if
Sim: Snyk Would Have Failed Without Continuous Internal Funding Prior to Series A
“If Guy went out trying to raise capital from someone else and I didn't have enough capital to give to him, he would have gone out of business.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sim: Snyk took nearly three years to reach $1M in ARR
“It took him two and a half years to kind of get out there and get his first, you know, two and a half to three to get his first million of ARR.”
Disclosure
Podjarny: Snyk's main moats are counter-positioning and product-led process power
“I'd sort of say that's Nick's two primary powers are, you know, one was counter positioning, which sort of still holds in the security space, this notion of, Coming in developer first is, is to an extent at the expense of some CISO power, of some sort of top-d…”
Disclosure
Snyk's last concrete acquisition offer was around $200 million
“The last acquisition that really I sort of felt like we were talking in, in concrete numbers was early in the journey. It was in sort of two hundred million range, and I think later on we talked about multiple billions, but we would, they didn't get to, like, …”
Assertion Partly supported
Sim: Boldstart funded Snyk through three pre-Series A capital rounds
“You know, guy from sneak, Harry, do you know how many rounds he raised before? He raised his A three rounds of capital before his A. Guess who gave him all three rounds?”
Disclosure
Podjarny: Handing over Snyk CEO role was one of his best decisions
“It was hard. It was also one of the better decisions that I've made.”
Insight
Podjarny: Pivot startup ideas if value proposition isn't needed in five years
“When you're founding a company, if the answer to the core value proposition that you have isn't yes, you know, if you can't kind of rationalize why it is more needed in five years time, you should pick a different idea because You know, you wouldn't be at any …”
Assertion Supported
Podjarny: Snyk grew ARR from $100k to $4.5M in sixteen months
“This was still eight months before we got to a 100,000 ARR, but then four months after that, you know, instead of a 100,000, we were at six 50, and a year after that, we were at four and a half million”
Opinion
Podjarny: Amit Patel is Snyk's most impactful angel investor
“I mean, the name that comes to mind is Amit Patel who is an angel investor who joined us in that sort of round in which, like, everybody was looking at it and sort of saying, you know, thanks, but no thanks on it, you know, and Boldstar did the top up. I think…”
Disclosure
Podjarny: Snyk is benefiting from software platform consolidation
“I think right now there is a lot of platform consolidation. You know, I will admit that Snyk is benefiting from that, you know, now that we have the breadth.”
Disclosure
Podjarny: Snyk split founding locations to combine Israeli tech and UK product
“And it's Nick, for instance, we started it in Tel Aviv and in London. And in Tel Aviv, I had, you know, this like, you know, anything is possible, fearlessness, sort of tech depth, security depth. And in London, I had kind of, you know, product discipline, dev…”
Insight
Podjarny: High-frequency, high-pain problems require differentiating from existing solutions
“If something is high frequency, high pain, it's all about comparing it to the existing solution, because, like, there's no way that they're not doing anything about something that is high frequency, high pain. And so it's all about the better mousetrap. It's a…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: Snyk generated just $100k ARR two years post-launch despite millions burned
“And really a year later, we were still at a 100,000 ARR in the budget. So at this point, it's like two years in and, you know, many millions of dollars burned and, you know, tens of thousands of users.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Podjarny plans to give away all of his Snyk equity wealth
“All the money that I have at Sneak, you know, my wife and I were planning to give that away.”