The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Storonsky: Revolut obtained its Mexican banking license ahead of Nubank
“So we got a banking license in Mexico, a head of new bank.”
Nik Storonsky Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 17:55 Nik Storonsky, Revolut Founder: What Revolut Needs to Do to Hit $100BN Valuation | E1233 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Velez: Nubank is the primary bank for nearly 30% of adult Brazilians
“So if we have 50% of the population and 60% of primary bank account, we have already close to, we have the primary bank account for close to 30% of adult Brazilians. Which, by the way, is now the highest among any bank in Brazil. We are now the most often, mos…”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 22:10 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Velez: Nubank's Mexican credit card achieves world-leading 94 NPS
“The highest-rated-NPS consumer product in the world in any category is our purple, is Nubank's purple credit card in Mexico. It's a 94 NPS.”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 29:31 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Stebbings: Brazil has failed to show scaled tech liquidity over 20 years
“Brazil has not shown pathways to liquidity at scale. They've shown new bank and everyone says new bank. It's one in 20 years.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 28:54 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Velez: Nubank is redefining itself into a broad consumer platform
“We're in the early days of using these eighty-five million digitally only consumer base to build a marketplace to go beyond financial services and enable our customers to access non-financial services products. So this is almost a redefine of what Nubank is. M…”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 23:27 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Nubank's Growth to $35B Proves Initial Valuation Concerns Wrong
“Like, new bank, At a billion dollars, looked pretty damn expensive. What's it worth now? Like, thirty-five billion dollars? Not so expensive.”
Angela Strange Aug 19, 2021 ▶ 27:35 20VC LATAM Part 2: a16z's Angela Strange on When To Expand Beyond Your Core Market, Why Serving the Unbanked is Such Good Business & Whether the Startup Will Acquire the Distribution before The Incumbent Acquires the Innovation?
Prediction Held up
Stebbings: Nubank will expand into the US market
“They're going to enter the U S it's a good bet. They've still got David at the helm. They're growing 28% year on year. I think we, I think new banker incredibly solid.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 1:08:23 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins? | The Data Center Arms Race | The Ultimate Stock Picks · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Nubank has reached 100 million active users
“I think they have like a hundred million active users nowadays.”
Val Scholz Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 57:31 Val Scholz: How Revolut Acquired Their First 10M Users: Tips, Tactics & Strategies | E1168 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Nubank generated nearly $1 billion in profit last year
“I think they made nearly a billion profit last year or something.”
Val Scholz Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 57:53 Val Scholz: How Revolut Acquired Their First 10M Users: Tips, Tactics & Strategies | E1168 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Nubank is currently outscaling Revolut's growth rate
“Revolut is growing fast, but Nubank is growing even faster.”
Val Scholz Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 58:02 Val Scholz: How Revolut Acquired Their First 10M Users: Tips, Tactics & Strategies | E1168 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Nubank maintains a 90% customer retention rate over 24 months
“They have like a 90% retention rate, like over 24 months.”
Val Scholz Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 56:25 Val Scholz: How Revolut Acquired Their First 10M Users: Tips, Tactics & Strategies | E1168 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Velez: Nubank reaches 85 million customers in Latin America
“By now we have one of the largest digitally native consumer platform, consumer basis in Latin America with eighty five million customers.”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 30:02 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Velez: Almost 50% of Brazilian adults are Nubank customers
“We're getting to a point where almost 50% of the Brazilian adult population is a customer of Nubank.”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 17:47 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Velez: Nubank holds 15% credit card and 5% personal loan market share
“In credit cards, we have about 15% market share, but in personal loans, we have five percent market share. In investments, we have about two percent. In insurance, we have one percent.”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 23:18 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Velez: 15,000 Nubank customers tweeted at Brazil's Central Bank during 2017 crisis
“Monday morning, there were 15,000 customers on Twitter of the Central Bank of Brazil saying, you cannot do this.”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 1:02:29 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Duggal: Over 40% of Nubank customers use it as primary bank
“We are well north of 40% of all customers, not of actives, but of all customers. And again, that's part of us holding ourselves to a high bar. So when at, when three years ago, that metric was about 10%. And so we've grown at four X, even as we've grown the cu…”
Jag Duggal Mar 29, 2023 ▶ 41:51 Jag Duggal: How We Scaled Nubank to 80M Users; Google's Brutal Hiring Practices | E995 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Nubank, Rappi, and dLocal Mafias Will Build Next LATAM Startups
“Like you've got NewBank, Rappi, Dlocal, right? And so like the kind of mafias from those companies are going to spin out and join the next generation of companies or grow the next generation of companies.”
Angela Strange Aug 19, 2021 ▶ 31:56 20VC LATAM Part 2: a16z's Angela Strange on When To Expand Beyond Your Core Market, Why Serving the Unbanked is Such Good Business & Whether the Startup Will Acquire the Distribution before The Incumbent Acquires the Innovation?
Assertion Partly supported
Nubank achieved profitability and positive cash flow in Brazil by 2019
“By the time we had that conversation again, in 2019, we were profitable in Brazil. We were cashflow positive. We have great product market fit. We are banking licenses. We were fully funded on deposits.”
David Vélez Mar 26, 2021 ▶ 12:53 20VC: Nubank CEO David Velez on Scaling Nubank to a $25BN Company, Why What Makes a Great Founder Does Not Make a Great CEO & The Responsibility Framework and How Leaders Can Use It To Drive Efficiency
Assertion Supported
Nubank's savings product grew larger than its original credit card business
“And product number two for us Which is savings is way bigger than product number one for us. And product number three is going, is growing faster than product number two.”
David Vélez Mar 26, 2021 ▶ 16:46 20VC: Nubank CEO David Velez on Scaling Nubank to a $25BN Company, Why What Makes a Great Founder Does Not Make a Great CEO & The Responsibility Framework and How Leaders Can Use It To Drive Efficiency
Assertion Partly supported
Velez: Nubank marketplace counts millions of DAUs across 180+ partners
“We have several million daily active users today on, on our marketplace where our customers are Consuming or buying goods or services from over 180 different partners”
David Vélez Sep 11, 2023 ▶ 30:40 David Velez: How AI Changes The Future of Finance | E1059 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Duggal: Nubank has reached 75 million customers
“We've got 70,000,075 million customers at Newbank.”
Jag Duggal Mar 29, 2023 ▶ 34:36 Jag Duggal: How We Scaled Nubank to 80M Users; Google's Brutal Hiring Practices | E995 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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