The Ledger

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Sovereign AI models will not become the largest general-purpose players
“Maybe wins in a scoped part of the market. Like, I could see why, for example there would be a lot of benefits to having Mistral be an expert in European law that might have nuances from other kinds of law, and they've just invested far more in having the best…”
Brendan Foody Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 46:25 Mercor CEO & Co-Founder, Brendan Foody: How They Grew from $1M to $500M in 17 Months · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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