The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Blomfield: Microsoft Office will not displace specialized vertical AI software
“I do, but I don't agree because I think Microsoft Office, like, by definition has to be a general product. It will be the best word processor for sure, but it's not going to be the tool that the dentist is actually using to write their clinical notes after a m…”
Tom Blomfield May 13, 2024 ▶ 50:23 Tom Blomfield: Do the Best All Raise Pre-Demo Day & YC's Fundraising Advice to Startups | E 1152 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Howie Liu: Microsoft Copilot Will Drive Significant ARPU Growth Across Office
“When you think about like Microsoft's co-pilot offering, it's going to add significant ARPU to every single seat of office, which is a massive install base, right?”
Howie Liu Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 21:58 Howie Liu: Decoding Airtable's $11B Valuation; The Impending AI Revolution in Enterprise | E1053 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Cannon: Over One Billion People Use Microsoft Office Daily
“There are more than a billion people who use Microsoft Office every day, and if they pay a hundred dollars a year, that's a hundred billion in revenue just for Office, not to mention the potential to expand in a lot of ways that Akshay outlined earlier.”
Sarah Cannon Apr 17, 2020 ▶ 30:21 20VC: Notion's Fundraise with Index: The Most Anticipated Deal in The Valley: How It Came To Be | The Future of Remote Work |How Notion Approach The Balance of Growth and Profitability
Insight
Network Effects Are the Primary Defensible Quality of Internet Businesses
“I think they had a real belief that networks would be the defensible quality of the internet, or the defensible thing about building a business on the internet. Whereas, let's say, In prior businesses like, ah, Microsoft Office or Windows or any other software…”
Jonathan Libov Jul 13, 2015 ▶ 5:27 20 VC 053: Inside Union Square Ventures with Jonathan Libov @ Union Square Ventures
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