The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Douwe Kiela: GPT-4 Will Disrupt Data Annotators Like Mechanical Turk

“One of the use cases I've been seeing now for GPT-IV is actually that people are using it to generate data and then they're training on that data with cheaper models. So GPT-IV might end up disrupting, not knowledge workers necessarily, but it might just disru…”

Douwe Kiela Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 20:19 20VC: The Biggest AI Leaders on What Matters More; Model Size or Data Size & Where Does The Value in AI Accrue; to Startups or to Incumbents

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Douwe Kiela: GPT-4 will disrupt Mechanical Turk before knowledge workers

“And so, so GPT-IV might end up disrupting, not like knowledge workers necessarily, but it might just disrupt like mechanical Turk and is just a, an annotator on steroids.”

Douwe Kiela Jun 30, 2023 ▶ 21:15 Douwe Kiela: Why Data Size Matters More Than Model Size; Why Open Source Isn't Going to Win | E1032 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

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The Ledger

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