The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Ripley Predicts the SEC Will Lose Its Crypto Enforcement Lawsuits
“They won't be successful, right? They've lost an XRP. They've lost the grayscale thing. They just kind of continue to not see success with these with these actions. So I don't think they, you know, they won't be successful.”
Dave Ripley Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 8:39 Dave Ripley: Are the SEC Overreaching with its Approach to Crypto? Should Gensler Step Down? | E1108 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Gupta: Kraken generated $1.5B net revenue and $750B volume in 2024
“Even, even, even pre-IPO, you know, in 20, 24 numbers, we shared a billion and a half in net revenue, not gross, net revenue. Hopefully I'm back here next year. I can, we can talk about 20, 25 growth. We shared our ARPU. We shared the number of funded accounts…”
Mayur Gupta Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 34:11 20Growth: Inside Kraken's $1.5BN Growth Playbook: What Works, What Doesn't and What No Founders Understand About Growth That Will Change Their Company with Mayur Gupta
Assertion Partly supported
Gupta: Kraken, Spotify, and Google achieved initial growth without marketing
“The first phase of growth was purely product-led, where marketing did not exist? And this is true for Kraken, true for Spotify, true for Google, because the first phase of growth was either reality, network effects, or just a brilliant product in a category an…”
Mayur Gupta Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 9:14 20Growth: Inside Kraken's $1.5BN Growth Playbook: What Works, What Doesn't and What No Founders Understand About Growth That Will Change Their Company with Mayur Gupta
Assertion Supported
Gupta: Kraken relied entirely on organic word-of-mouth growth for 10 years
“At Kraken, three phases of growth, Harry, Phase one was the first 10 years where, like I said earlier, it was all organic. Great word of mouth, early player, category builder. Then, in late 2021, we realized that the next phase of growth for Kraken now needs a…”
Mayur Gupta Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 15:14 20Growth: Inside Kraken's $1.5BN Growth Playbook: What Works, What Doesn't and What No Founders Understand About Growth That Will Change Their Company with Mayur Gupta
Assertion Supported
Kraken Had No Replacement COO Ready When Ripley Became CEO
“When we made the transition, there wasn't actually someone to come in and, like, fill my old role as COO day one.”
Dave Ripley Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 4:07 Dave Ripley: Are the SEC Overreaching with its Approach to Crypto? Should Gensler Step Down? | E1108 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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