The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Narayanan: Skeptical GPT-5 will yield a leap comparable to GPT-4
“Are we going to see a GPT-V that's as big a leap over GPT-V as GPT-V was over GPT-V? I'm frankly skeptical.”
Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 5:44 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Taneja: Newer AI model capabilities outweigh a year of GTM head start
“So the go to market advantage you may have created in a year having started on GPT versus five might be anemic compared to the technology advantage that you have. If you start in the GPT five or the choices you make and how fast you can move because the models…”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 32:06 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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