why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Kaji: Micro VCs raising $15M–$20M Fund I cannot easily scale up Fund II
“I think people that raise that 15 to 20 will have to probably raise another fund of 15 to 20 when it comes to Fund two with the understanding that when it comes to fund three, if they've shown real traction, if they have a few distributions, and that's usually…”
Assertion Partly supported
Destin: 70-80% of seed funds had 6-12 month portfolio runway
“Samir Khadji from First Republic Bank in the US is an active observer of the early stage market, and he said that 70 or 80% of the seed funds that he spoke to had six to 12 months of life for most of their portfolio companies.”
Assertion Partly supported
Akhund: Mercury is the only startup-focused challenger bank in the U.S.
“If you take what we're doing at Mercury, there's no one else really doing a startup focused challenger bank. I would say the zero, which is really good. The only people we're competing against is Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic and Chase.”
Assertion Supported
Kaji: Average venture capital fundraise takes 18 months for new managers
“Yeah, so the average right now is 18 months. If you are a first time manager, i.e. Have never done it before, you're probably going to be in that 18 month time frame, if not longer.”
Assertion Partly supported
Reses: First Republic disclosed 9% tech deposit exposure during SVB crisis
“They put out a notice on, on Friday that said, only 15% of our securities are, or 15, 15% of our assets are, you know, securities. Nine percent of our deposit base is tech, you know, broadly diversified.”