why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Wittenborn: Duolingo commands higher revenue multiples than comparable SaaS companies
“There's now a Duolingo that's, I would just want to stress this, in this current macro, they have a much higher multiple on their revenue run rate than comparable SaaS companies.”
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo PM built initial chess course prototype using Cursor
“He was able to build this first version just using cursor and a bunch of AI tools. And the prototype is what convinced us that we should do this.”
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo built its chess course in a record nine months
“Because of AI, again, we were able to build this within nine months. This is fastest way ever created a new course.”
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo has never conducted employee layoffs
“By the way, we also never had a layoff.”
Assertion Supported
Duolingo created 148 courses in one year using AI
“It took us, I think, 12 years to build the first hundred courses or so. And now, within one year, we built another 148 courses.”
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo was once bigger on TikTok than Nike
“I think at some point we were bigger on TikTok than Nike.”
Assertion Supported
Kansu: Subscriptions account for over 80% of Duolingo's revenue
“Today it's more than 80%.”
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo finance team grew from 2 to 25 post-IPO
“Before we went public, our finance team, for example, was two people. Now it's, I think, 25 or so.”
Assertion Supported
Duolingo was an launch partner for OpenAI's GPT-4 release
“We were one of the launch partners of OpenAI when they first launched GPT-IV”
Assertion Supported
Product, Engineering, and Design Account for 70%-80% of Duolingo's Workforce
“Inside Duolingo, we have the three biggest functions within Duolingo are product, Engineering and design. Okay. Those compose probably about. 80%, 70 to 80% of our workforce.”
Assertion Supported
Von Ahn: One-on-one tutoring outperforms 98% of standard classroom students
“I mean, there's a lot of studies in educational psychology that show, you know, the most famous one is something called the Bloom's Two Sigma study. It shows the following. It compares a student In a standard classroom, let's say with 30 other students or 20 o…”
Assertion Supported
Von Ahn: Duolingo raised $108M while keeping headcount to just 100 employees
“We have raised about a hundred and eight million dollars. So we would be able, we only have about a hundred employees.”
Assertion Supported
Malik: Early adoption of unique channels drove growth for Dropbox and Pinterest
“Dropbox, Dropbox, like with the referral program, Groupon and email, Pinterest and SEO, Duolingo, and just like a totally unhinged social media, right? All of them were kind of first to this concept and it really, really worked.”
Prediction Held up
Duolingo's social media team aims to hire a standup comedian
“I actually, my dream is to hire a standup comedian for my team.”
Assertion Supported
Running Duolingo's viral TikTok is Zaria Parvez's first job out of college
“And this is my first job out of college.”
Assertion Supported
Gotthilf: Duolingo's initial growth team was just her and one engineer
“It was just me and one engineer. That's all they gave me and one backend engineer.”