The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Wittenborn: Duolingo commands higher revenue multiples than comparable SaaS companies
“There's now a Duolingo that's, I would just want to stress this, in this current macro, they have a much higher multiple on their revenue run rate than comparable SaaS companies.”
Nico Wittenborn May 22, 2023 ▶ 1:07:22 Nico Wittenborn: Consumer Subscription Apps; Using Evolutionary Biology to Invest; Solo GP's | E1017 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Duolingo built 140 courses in one year with AI
“In 10 years they made a 140 courses with humans, and in a year they made a 140 courses. So 10 years of work took them one year with AI.”
Harry Stebbings May 29, 2025 ▶ 1:04:48 OpenAI’s $6BN Jony Ive Deal & YC Is Both Chanel and Walmart, and Has Officially Won! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo PM built initial chess course prototype using Cursor
“He was able to build this first version just using cursor and a bunch of AI tools. And the prototype is what convinced us that we should do this.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 41:16 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo built its chess course in a record nine months
“Because of AI, again, we were able to build this within nine months. This is fastest way ever created a new course.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 42:02 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo has never conducted employee layoffs
“By the way, we also never had a layoff.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 1:25:41 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Duolingo created 148 courses in one year using AI
“It took us, I think, 12 years to build the first hundred courses or so. And now, within one year, we built another 148 courses.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 4:22 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Von Ahn: Two-thirds of language learners study English to escape poverty
“Most of the people that are learning a foreign language, about two thirds of them, satisfy three properties. First, they're learning English. Second, the reason they're learning English is in order to get a job. And third, they are of low socioeconomic conditi…”
Luis von Ahn Oct 13, 2017 ▶ 3:29 20VC: Duolingo's Luis von Ahn on How CEO's Can Scale With The Company, How VC Herd Mentality In The Valley Really Works and How Chatbots & AI Play A Role In The Future of EdTech
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo was once bigger on TikTok than Nike
“I think at some point we were bigger on TikTok than Nike.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 55:36 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Malik: Duolingo achieves a world-class 50% 12-month user retention rate
“Yeah, that's 12 month retention at 50%. World-class. And the engine they have built is incredible.”
Raman Malik Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 22:59 Raman Malik: Inside Perplexity’s Growth Machine: What Worked, What Did Not Work | E1226 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Von Ahn: Duolingo was close to breakeven during Series E
“Yeah, we negotiated that down. It's because we didn't think we needed more money. I mean, Break even very soon.”
Luis von Ahn Oct 13, 2017 ▶ 18:00 20VC: Duolingo's Luis von Ahn on How CEO's Can Scale With The Company, How VC Herd Mentality In The Valley Really Works and How Chatbots & AI Play A Role In The Future of EdTech
Assertion Supported
Kansu: Subscriptions account for over 80% of Duolingo's revenue
“Today it's more than 80%.”
Cem Kansu Jun 20, 2025 ▶ 44:31 20Product: How Duolingo Build Product 10x Faster with AI | Duolingo's Biggest Lessons on Paywalls, Push Notifications and In-App Purchases | Why Small Teams are the Future of Product | Why PMs Will Become Extinct with Cem Kansu, CPO @ Duolingo
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo finance team grew from 2 to 25 post-IPO
“Before we went public, our finance team, for example, was two people. Now it's, I think, 25 or so.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 1:31:31 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Duolingo was an launch partner for OpenAI's GPT-4 release
“We were one of the launch partners of OpenAI when they first launched GPT-IV”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 3:19 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Product, Engineering, and Design Account for 70%-80% of Duolingo's Workforce
“Inside Duolingo, we have the three biggest functions within Duolingo are product, Engineering and design. Okay. Those compose probably about. 80%, 70 to 80% of our workforce.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 15:20 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Von Ahn: One-on-one tutoring outperforms 98% of standard classroom students
“I mean, there's a lot of studies in educational psychology that show, you know, the most famous one is something called the Bloom's Two Sigma study. It shows the following. It compares a student In a standard classroom, let's say with 30 other students or 20 o…”
Luis von Ahn Oct 13, 2017 ▶ 7:15 20VC: Duolingo's Luis von Ahn on How CEO's Can Scale With The Company, How VC Herd Mentality In The Valley Really Works and How Chatbots & AI Play A Role In The Future of EdTech
Assertion Supported
Von Ahn: Duolingo raised $108M while keeping headcount to just 100 employees
“We have raised about a hundred and eight million dollars. So we would be able, we only have about a hundred employees.”
Luis von Ahn Oct 13, 2017 ▶ 15:55 20VC: Duolingo's Luis von Ahn on How CEO's Can Scale With The Company, How VC Herd Mentality In The Valley Really Works and How Chatbots & AI Play A Role In The Future of EdTech
Assertion Supported
Malik: Early adoption of unique channels drove growth for Dropbox and Pinterest
“Dropbox, Dropbox, like with the referral program, Groupon and email, Pinterest and SEO, Duolingo, and just like a totally unhinged social media, right? All of them were kind of first to this concept and it really, really worked.”
Raman Malik Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 41:19 Raman Malik: Inside Perplexity’s Growth Machine: What Worked, What Did Not Work | E1226 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Duolingo's social media team aims to hire a standup comedian
“I actually, my dream is to hire a standup comedian for my team.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 49:57 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Running Duolingo's viral TikTok is Zaria Parvez's first job out of college
“And this is my first job out of college.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 16:17 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Gotthilf: Duolingo's initial growth team was just her and one engineer
“It was just me and one engineer. That's all they gave me and one backend engineer.”
Gina Gotthilf Jun 21, 2023 ▶ 9:33 Gina Gotthilf: Lessons Scaling Duolingo from 3-200M Users; How to Master PR and Comms | E1028 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.