The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Frankel: Kalshi and Polymarket are essentially gambling like DraftKings
“It has to be, right? Like it, I mean, if you look at like Kelsey and Polymarket, what's the difference there between DraftKings and Betway? And they seem very similar to me.”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 1:25:40 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Disclosure
NextView Passed on DraftKings Due to Misjudging Market Size
“I knew he was special, and he walked into our offices to pitch DraftKings along with two other extraordinary co-founders, and we passed, not because of, like, regulation, but because we misunderstood the market size.”
Rob Go Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 0:11 Rob Go: The Ultimate Guide to Raising a Venture Fund | E1029 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Mansour: DraftKings and FanDuel are among the world's best marketing spenders
“Traditional players, like, you know, Draftskins and FanDuel, they have really effective, I would say like marketing machines. They're like some of the best spenders of dollars on the planet.”
Tarek Mansour Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 13:02 Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour on Raising $1BN, CNN and CNBC Deals & the Polymarket Feud · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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