why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Josh Browder expects to make more money from investing than DoNotPay
“I think unfortunately I'll make more money from the investing.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Browder: DoNotPay plans to issue quarterly investor dividends
“We're actually doing another dividend next month, so it's like quarterly. Yeah, we're planning on doing it now quarterly.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Browder: DoNotPay holds more cash than total venture funding raised
“So we have more money than we've raised”
Disclosure
Browder: DoNotPay's 10 support contractors are becoming redundant via AI
“You don't need, I mean, even with do not pay customer support we're seeing optimizations. Previously, you had to hire, like, three people to do the job of one person. Now, now so we do have, like, 10 extra, like, contractors for customer support. We found that…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Browder: Niche software companies will thrive while traditional large tech struggles
“I think there'll be a rise of medium sized businesses, like almost do not pays that fill the niche and then these massive companies, but the middle where there's just like a large company, I think they have to be very worried.”
Disclosure
Browder: DoNotPay avoided secondary sales by distributing dividends
“We haven't really had to because of dividends.”
What-if
Browder: DoNotPay could have raised $100M during 2021 market peak
“We never, we didn't raise a hundred million. We could have at the peak of twenty-twenty-one.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Browder: DoNotPay serves hundreds of thousands of customers with 11 people
“We have hundreds of thousands of customers, and it's only a team of 11 people, and it's automated, fully automated, so it's, like, very efficient.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Browder: DoNotPay competitor spent $300 to acquire $150 customers in 2021
“We had a competitor in the 20, 21 peak. They were spending like 300 dollars to acquire a customer worth 150 dollars and they actually managed to sell at the peak of the market.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Browder: Custom AI evaluation specialists will become commonplace within five years
“Custom evals is like evals. So everyone is very excited about foundation models, like called code and all of this stuff. But I think the future of AI will actually be organization specific, specifically around the data that do not pay has where we're doing eva…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Browder: DoNotPay plans to roll up consumer products this year
“I think that we, Are gonna take some big swings this year. We are looking to kind of roll up some different consumer things within Do Not Pay”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Browder: DoNotPay achieves a 100% success rate on in-flight Wi-Fi refunds
“We have a hundred percent success rate with in-flight Wi-Fi refunds because it never works. I guess, so I guess we're no, it works, but it's slow, and it's not what they advertise.”
Assertion Partly supported
Browder: Failing Stanford dance class precipitated dropout, not Thiel Fellowship
“I didn't go to the dance class. I kept Do Not Pay running and failed at the dance class, and that was my precip, kind of precipitated my dropping out, not the Teal Fellowship.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Browder: DoNotPay acquires over 90% of customers organically
“We get 90% plus of our customers organically through SEO, earned media, like viral stories and referrals.”