The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Douwe Kiela: Incumbent AI firms promote existential risk to entrench regulatory advantage
“So the people who are pushing this narrative are really the people who are benefiting from this being the narrative. So these are the incumbent AI companies who are, who want to have either the market regulated. Right. Because then they benefit because they ca…”
Kiela: Believing open-source AI can match OpenAI is incredibly naive
“I would like it to be true that with open source, we could just keep up with all of that. But I think that's just incredibly naive. Open AI has this very deep understanding of how people want to use language models. Basically nobody else has, and they have thi…”
Douwe Kiela: OpenAI and Anthropic are the Lycos and AltaVista of AI
“So if all the stars align, then OpenAI and Anthropic and all of these places, they had this great first generation technology. So they're kind of like the Lycos and Alta Vista of search engines. And the technology we have is more like PageRank. And that would …”