The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Ehrenberg: Tiger Global and Coatue face horrific portfolio markdowns ahead
“You know, their mark to market now, the next couple of years is going to be horrific. They're going to see huge markdowns on a huge swath of their companies, a bunch of stuff that they had counted on to go public isn't going to go public.”
Roger Ehrenberg Jan 31, 2022 ▶ 27:15 20VC: How Startup Valuations, Fund Deployment Cycles, M&A and IPO Markets Will All Change in This New Market, Where Will The Biggest Crunch Be, When Is The Right Time To Be Aggressive vs Conservative with Roger Ehrenberg, Founding Partner @ IA Ventures
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Coatue is wrong about $500M ARR requirement for tech IPOs
“The comments about you have to be five hundred million, which is, I think, a KOTU comment, the comment that the window was going to shut a month ago. Both of them are wrong.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 29, 2025 ▶ 15:18 OpenAI’s $6BN Jony Ive Deal & YC Is Both Chanel and Walmart, and Has Officially Won! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: Coatue's Retail VC Fund Will Sell by Offering AI Access
“Do I think it'll work and raise capital? Probably it will because the facts are there. The other The other PE vehicles have worked. And then let's get real. You know, at the end, it'll be packaged with some version of this is the only way you can get access to…”
Rory O'Driscoll May 15, 2025 ▶ 26:06 OpenAI, SBF & Perplexity: What VCs Know That You Don’t · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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