why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Allbirds Co-Founder: Amazon Profits Off Knockoffs Targeting Allbirds Search Terms
“If you look at how Amazon does, even when you're not selling on their channel, enough people have typed in all birds on amazon.com such that there is a lot of knockoffs and other, perhaps you would call it similar looking products. That are now sold through Am…”
Prediction Held up
Joey Zwillinger: Allbirds will refocus on its core active lifestyle category
“And so that is the core of where we started the brand. And that's where we're going to bring everything back to with a really sharp clarity for the consumer. And the potential when we do that is going to be pretty significant. So I think in, in, in part, you'r…”
Assertion Supported
Zwillinger: Less than 15% of Americans know Allbirds exists
“We still have less than 15% aided brand awareness, meaning only 15% of the US population knows that all birds exist.”
Assertion Supported
Nicole Quinn: Allbirds physical retail stores reach profitability in months
“Clearly all birds have just raised around to focus on retail expansion, and you can see that these retail stores are profitable in a matter of months. Often they're cost-neutral marketing channels.”
Assertion Supported
Zwillinger: Allbirds sales declined in 2023 for first time ever
“And as a result, the sales have declined this year for the first time in the history of the company.”
Assertion Supported
Eurie Kim: Allbirds Generated $1 Million in Its First Month
“Allbirds, which is not in our portfolio, but another really fast-growing brand, I think they did a million dollars in their first month of business.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Allbirds was acquired by Almex for $39 million
“It was acquired by Almex for thirty-nine million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Allbirds went public at $3.8B and dropped to $120M
“It went public at 3.8 billion, and it's now one hundred and twenty million.”
Assertion Supported
Zwillinger: Allbirds footwear lineup was 100% casual lifestyle shoes in 2019
“We didn't have an athletic positioning at all at that time. And, you know, we were a hundred percent of a casual lifestyle shoe offering in 2019.”
Assertion Supported
Zwillinger: Footwear industry was 70-80% wholesale before Allbirds
“Because the whole industry is structured like this before we started was, you know, 70, sometimes 80% wholesale distributed.”
Assertion Supported
Zwillinger: Allbirds generates close to $300 million in annual revenue
“We now have a brand that's, you know, close to three hundred million dollars in revenue.”