The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Singlehurst: Active growth-stage private market participants have consolidated since 2020-2021
“But I think there are fewer participants in the growth stage today than there was in 2020 and 20 21. And you could say, well, those are anomalous years, but I actually, I still think there has been consolidation within the growth stage of the private market.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 58:17 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Singlehurst: Random stock selection yields a 5% probability of 5x returns
“The probability of any given company going up five times, if you were just picking randomly, is something like five percent.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 23:56 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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