“But most of the value has to be in the products. Like, you know, we don't build infrastructure just for the sake of infrastructure. Like we build infrastructure so people can make product.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Kevin Scott
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Scott: AI scaling laws have not hit a limit yet
“I can very clearly see what we're doing now and like what we're doing next. And I don't see the limit to the scaling laws. Like if you're just sort of thinking about the raw capability of the models and like how well you can condition them to reason over incre…”
Kevin ScottMar 31, 2025▶ 8:31Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Scott: Microsoft chose not to launch models more interesting than DeepSeek-R1
“We've had models more interesting than Deep Seek R-One that, like, we didn't even We chose not to even launch them.”
Kevin ScottMar 31, 2025▶ 15:05Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
PredictionOpen · timeframe Mar 2030
Scott: 95% of net new code will be AI-generated within five years
“95% is going to be AI generated. I think very little is going to be line by line is going to be human written code.”
Kevin ScottMar 31, 2025▶ 30:30Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
AssertionSupported
Scott: Frontier AI models diagnose health issues better than average GPs
“It is already the case that I think the frontier models are probably better like health diagnosticians than Your average GP is”
Kevin ScottMar 31, 2025▶ 43:29Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Scott: Claims about proprietary data's value for AI lack scientific backing
“Most of those assertions that people make are like most of the assertions that people make are just unfounded in any kind of science. Like no, no one's gotta, and like the measurements we do have show that there's a pretty big disconnect around what some peopl…”
Kevin ScottMar 31, 2025▶ 11:50Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Scott: Using AI models as factual databases is inefficient and expensive
“People who think of models as repositories of factual information, and they're treating them like the world's worst and most expensive databases. Like it's not, not super useful.”
Kevin ScottMar 31, 2025▶ 12:18Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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