Martin Casado, General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), explains why AI foundational model leads tend to be temporary rather than permanent monopolies.
“So historically, Models don't really keep much of an advantage because they're so easy to distill.”
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More from Martin Casado
AssertionOpen · timeframe Jul 2030
Casado: OpenAI Lost Its Early Leads In Code, Image, And Video Generation
“OpenAI was the first to code, right? With GitHub Copilot. I mean, they provided the weights. As far as I know, and they lost that. And they were first to image with Dali, and they lost that. And they were the first to video with Sora. And as far as I can tell,…”
Martin CasadoJul 28, 2025▶ 19:17a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Casado: Vertical SaaS Tech Is Simple CRUD Where The Team Doesn't Matter
“Every time I look at vertical SAS, I'm like, why do we even care about the technical team? It's fucking crud, man. It's like, crud is like create, you know, read, update, delete. It's like, they all do the same thing. They all just kind of look like a web app.…”
Martin CasadoJul 28, 2025▶ 42:31a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Casado: Open-Source AI Is Dangerous Because China Is Better At It
“I think that right now open source is most dangerous because China is better at it than we are, and as a result of that.”
Martin CasadoJul 28, 2025▶ 30:05a16z GP, Martin Casado: Anthropic vs OpenAI & Why Open Source is a National Security Risk with China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Casado: Operating background likely hurts venture capitalists more than it helps
“I don't know if operating helps or not. Like, I don't know if it helps you pick. I don't know if it helps you close. I don't know. Like, I don't know how to answer that. Probably not. It probably hurts more than helps.”
Martin CasadoDec 6, 2022▶ 2:59a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Casado: VCs who skip evenings and weekends do not deserve to invest
“And you should work in the evenings, and you should work on weekends. And if you don't, like, I, like, I just don't think you deserve to be investing in these companies. You just don't.”
Martin CasadoDec 6, 2022▶ 6:07a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Casado: Thesis investing is flawed because market narratives are usually retrofitted
“A lot of investors talk about actually in the, a lot of investors talk about thesis. I don't think that's the right way to think about investing at all. I think it's just so crazy to come up with some story, which to your point is more retrofit. So I'm definit…”
Martin CasadoDec 6, 2022▶ 55:28a16z GP Martin Casado: How I Went from Engineer to VC; Lessons from Chris Dixon | 20VC #956 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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