Peter Singlehurst

Head of Private Companies, Baillie Gifford · 2 appearances on the record.

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Peter Singlehurst joined Baillie Gifford in 2010, establishing its dedicated private companies investment practice in 2017 and becoming a partner in 2022. He oversees growth equity investments across global private businesses and manages The Schiehallion Fund, directing capital into companies such as Epic Games and SpaceX.

79statements → 19claims → 8claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 3.82/5average certainty → 2.24/5average debate potential → 4.5/5argument clarity · the sources → 1said about them ↓

8 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 10 not checkable as stated how the 19 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

7 predictions · 12 assertions · 12 opinions · 22 insights · 25 disclosures · 1 what if · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 19 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 8 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 10 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Peter argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Singlehurst: Stripe trades at a lower multiple than Adyen while growing faster
“Stripe is priced even, even less than Adyen. If you just look at it on a multiples basis, and it's growing quicker.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 52:21 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

Argument clarity: do they answer the question? how? →

4.5 / 5 directness 4.8 · coherence 4.9 · precision 4.2 · compression 3.9

redirected or did not address 1 of 46 assessed questions (2%). Watch them ▸

This is a score against a rubric. It is not a rank. Every host question → answer exchange is scored with names hidden on directness, coherence, precision and compression, 1–5 each, on meaning alone: disfluencies are ignored, and only raw unedited episodes count. This is the score that measures thought. Every scored exchange, scores shown → · The rubric and its checks →

How they sound: speaking style how? →

265 words/min while actually speaking · 24.8 um and uh per 1k words · 16.2 false starts per 1k · 30.9% of pauses land inside a clause

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 17,476 words across 2 episodes of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

How the interview went all their pushback → series average →

Across 2 rated episodes:

setup questions received 38%

Everything Peter Singlehurst said on 20VC that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Supported
Singlehurst: US Series C+ valuation multiples remain elevated despite post-2021 drop
“If you look at the data multiples in series C and beyond in the U.S. Are below twenty-twenty-one, but still at elevated levels.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 26:19 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford accepts liquidity risk if compensated on entry price
“On the sort of path to exit and path to liquidity, I think this is where Having a very long-term time horizon, like, we are willing to take a little bit more risk there, again, just provided we are being paid to take that risk.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 29:40 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Singlehurst: ByteDance leads online ads and ranks third in Chinese e-commerce
“They're the market leader in online advertising in China. And I think at the moment they're about number three in e-commerce in China.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 33:02 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Singlehurst: Public and Private Growth Investing Share Core Analytical Questions
“The core analytical questions I think are pretty similar. You have different sources of information, whether you're doing public or private, but like you're still looking for the same characteristics, right? Like if you make it very simple, you're still lookin…”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 43:16 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Singlehurst: SpaceX has an amazing management team beyond Elon Musk
“The thing that people forget about SpaceX is that there's an amazing management team there that is not Elon Musk.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 44:10 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Singlehurst: Understanding business models over tech suits growth over venture
“There are people on my team who are much more interested in technology itself, and also love investing, love businesses, but my focus, and I think this is a focus that perhaps makes me better at, say, growth stage investing than I would be at venture stage inv…”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 45:46 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford requires 5x upside to double down on follow-ons
“So if you're going to double down on a company, then absolutely. Yeah. You need to see a five X on a reinvestment.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 50:21 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford Directs Carry to the Firm, Paying Partners via Bonuses
“So Cary goes to the firm. And then we remunerate people through, through bonuses, which is a synthetic carrier, I suppose.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 1:07:56 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Singlehurst: Growth-stage venture-backed companies are at an all-time high
“There have never been so many venture backed companies that are sort of entering our part of the market.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 1:09:27 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Peter Singlehurst: Growth equity capital availability is in an optimal golden mean
“But the final thing that I think is really important for like why now is an amazing time for growth equity investing is we're in this period of capital where there, and yes, taking the conversation we had earlier around there are some parts of the market that …”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 1:10:47 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford hires non-finance backgrounds to avoid narrow worldviews
“And so the reason we hire from a range of academic backgrounds is because we bring in people with lots of different perspectives. Perspectives on the world rather than hiring people who grew up dreaming of being fund managers where you might well end up with a…”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 5:22 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Singlehurst: Private investing gives public market managers a 5-10 year advantage
“They basically get a window into the future. They get to see the businesses that will be in the public markets over the next five or 10 years and just get insight and understanding and relationships with those companies that you could never get if you weren't …”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 8:02 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford's moat analyses look like dynamic meditative essays
“We are not trying to accurately nail down what a company's competitive advantage is or will be. Actually, if you look at the reports we write, the analysis that we do on competitive advantage, it looks more like a meditative, meditative essay than a set of ass…”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 12:46 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford usually leans toward continuing support during ambiguous struggles
“I think we probably fall more often on the side of continuing to back businesses and sometimes those are the best decisions we ever make, and sometimes they're the worst decisions we ever make but Founders and companies will more often find us leaning on the s…”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 14:54 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford avoids investing in M&A-focused companies
“Very few of our investments get acquired. And that's partly because we steer away from any company where we get a whiff of them potentially being bought.”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 23:09 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Singlehurst: High turnover prevents investment teams from developing true trust
“I think that just gives rise to a kind of level of trust and a level of working together that we couldn't have if this was a sort of organization where kind of people came in for a couple of years and then left. And if it was more of a kind of high turnover so…”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 36:56 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford investment teams do not use Bloomberg terminals
“You won't see a single Bloomberg terminal on the desks of investment teams.”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 38:19 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford's one bankruptcy was late-stage diabetes company Intarsia
“So that company that I mentioned, the one that went bankrupt, was a business called Intarsia. It was a company that was developing a therapy for type two diabetes, and when we invested in it was a very, it was late stage in this, in the sense of being in phase…”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 39:22 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Singlehurst: High-Probability Investments Carry Far More Risk Than Investors Assume
“And that the things which appear to be low probability actually often have a much higher probability than you might think. And the things which you think have a very high probability, sometimes actually have a much lower probability than you might think.”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 40:45 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford began researching and buying Tesla stock in 2012
“I was working on Tesla in 2000 and 12, and we went on to buy that for various strategies.”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 42:49 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford passed on multiple private investment rounds in DoorDash
“One of the ones we really missed was DoorDash. We had a few opportunities to invest in that privately.”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 46:04 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Singlehurst: In-game purchases and digital distribution transformed gaming longevity
“Digital distribution and in-game purchases in video games completely changed the set of incentives for game developers and players and the potential longevity that could come from those businesses.”
Peter Singlehurst Jul 15, 2022 ▶ 48:13 Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Intarsia Was Baillie Gifford's First Portfolio Company Bankruptcy
“Like, the first company we invested in that went bankrupt was a company called Intarsia. It was a, it was actually a biotech company that was developing a GLP-I. I mean, imagine if that company had managed to stay solvent, it would have been an astonishing inv…”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 5:03 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Singlehurst: Wise grew from $50M-$60M revenue at initial investment to multi-billions
“Wise was actually a little bit smaller than that when we first invested. I think it was probably about 50 or sixty million dollars in revenue. It's now a multi-billion dollar revenue business.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 9:55 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

Show 7statements(7 left)

The other half of the tape: Peter Singlehurst's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 1 time in 1 episode on 20VC. every mention, with the transcript →

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Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northval Mar 19, 2025 48m
Peter Singlehurst: The Most Powerful Investor You've Never Heard of | 20VC #907 · 20VC wit Jul 15, 2022 34m
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