Oct 5, 2022 · 47m · news

Geoff Lewis: Why I Put $200M into Rippling; Uncapped Notes; "Compound Startups" | 20VC #933 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

Geoff Lewis · 35m spoken Harry Stebbings · 7m spoken
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In this episode of 20VC, host Harry Stebbings interviews Geoff Lewis of Bedrock, who details his firm's strategic $200 million investment in Rippling, the mechanics of "compound startups," and Bedrock's highly concentrated capital allocation framework.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. Harry holds 18% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

Harry as informed peer 2.8 Guest teaching 2.3 Guest disagreement 1.6 Harry pushing back 2.1
05100:0015:0030:0045:000:08–4:02 · Harry as informed peer 1/10 Meeting Parker Conrad and the Early Years Stebbings introduces the episode warmly and prompts Lewis to share his long-standing history with Parker Conrad. Lewis provides a detailed account of early pitches, passing on Zenefits, and founding Bedrock.4:02–10:01 · Harry as informed peer 2/10 Parker Conrad's Vengeance and Entrepreneurial Motivations Stebbings pushes Lewis on whether overcoming vengeance causes an entrepreneur or investor to lose their edge. Lewis gently pivots the psychoanalysis back to Rippling and Parker.10:01–16:42 · Harry as informed peer 4/10 The Compound Startup Model and Disrupting SaaS Stebbings questions Lewis's thesis on global expansion, citing European regulatory complexities and referencing Frank Slootman. Lewis acknowledges the challenge and suggests asking Parker directly.16:42–20:15 · Harry as informed peer 2/10 Investment Strategy: Underwriting 10X and Capital Risk Stebbings asks about outcome scenario planning, giving Lewis space to outline Bedrock's 10x underwriting model and the preferred equity stack versus revenue curve.20:15–25:19 · Harry as informed peer 3/10 Underwriting Losses and the Strategy Behind Uncapped Notes Stebbings confronts Lewis about breaking his own firm's rule against uncapped notes. Lewis explains how Parker's fundraising mastery made uncapped notes a tactically cheaper entry point.25:19–29:30 · Harry as informed peer 2/10 The Series B Screw-Up: Analysis Paralysis in March 2020 Stebbings prompts Lewis to reflect on Bedrock's Series B mistake. Lewis candidly recounts their analysis paralysis during the March 2020 COVID lockdowns and getting kicked to the curb.29:30–37:13 · Harry as informed peer 4/10 Series D, Macro Shifts, and Recycling Crypto Profits Stebbings asks sharp questions about pricing uncertainty and recycling crypto gains instead of returning cash to LPs. Lewis reveals that LPs didn't react to earlier cash distributions, justifying full recycling.37:13–40:25 · Harry as informed peer 3/10 Navigating a Downturn: Doing More with Less Stebbings asks whether venture capitalists must be inherently optimistic to succeed. Lewis reframes the point, arguing that durable success requires balancing optimism with sharp internal pessimism.40:25–47:04 · Harry as informed peer 4/10 Growth Investing, Capital Concentration, and Team Culture Stebbings questions the true value added by growth VCs at Series D and cites Brian Seaman on capital concentration. Lewis freely admits that growth VCs add very little value at this stage.0:08–4:02 · Guest teaching 1/10 Meeting Parker Conrad and the Early Years Stebbings introduces the episode warmly and prompts Lewis to share his long-standing history with Parker Conrad. Lewis provides a detailed account of early pitches, passing on Zenefits, and founding Bedrock.4:02–10:01 · Guest teaching 2/10 Parker Conrad's Vengeance and Entrepreneurial Motivations Stebbings pushes Lewis on whether overcoming vengeance causes an entrepreneur or investor to lose their edge. Lewis gently pivots the psychoanalysis back to Rippling and Parker.10:01–16:42 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Compound Startup Model and Disrupting SaaS Stebbings questions Lewis's thesis on global expansion, citing European regulatory complexities and referencing Frank Slootman. Lewis acknowledges the challenge and suggests asking Parker directly.16:42–20:15 · Guest teaching 2/10 Investment Strategy: Underwriting 10X and Capital Risk Stebbings asks about outcome scenario planning, giving Lewis space to outline Bedrock's 10x underwriting model and the preferred equity stack versus revenue curve.20:15–25:19 · Guest teaching 4/10 Underwriting Losses and the Strategy Behind Uncapped Notes Stebbings confronts Lewis about breaking his own firm's rule against uncapped notes. Lewis explains how Parker's fundraising mastery made uncapped notes a tactically cheaper entry point.25:19–29:30 · Guest teaching 1/10 The Series B Screw-Up: Analysis Paralysis in March 2020 Stebbings prompts Lewis to reflect on Bedrock's Series B mistake. Lewis candidly recounts their analysis paralysis during the March 2020 COVID lockdowns and getting kicked to the curb.29:30–37:13 · Guest teaching 4/10 Series D, Macro Shifts, and Recycling Crypto Profits Stebbings asks sharp questions about pricing uncertainty and recycling crypto gains instead of returning cash to LPs. Lewis reveals that LPs didn't react to earlier cash distributions, justifying full recycling.37:13–40:25 · Guest teaching 2/10 Navigating a Downturn: Doing More with Less Stebbings asks whether venture capitalists must be inherently optimistic to succeed. Lewis reframes the point, arguing that durable success requires balancing optimism with sharp internal pessimism.40:25–47:04 · Guest teaching 2/10 Growth Investing, Capital Concentration, and Team Culture Stebbings questions the true value added by growth VCs at Series D and cites Brian Seaman on capital concentration. Lewis freely admits that growth VCs add very little value at this stage.0:08–4:02 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Meeting Parker Conrad and the Early Years Stebbings introduces the episode warmly and prompts Lewis to share his long-standing history with Parker Conrad. Lewis provides a detailed account of early pitches, passing on Zenefits, and founding Bedrock.4:02–10:01 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Parker Conrad's Vengeance and Entrepreneurial Motivations Stebbings pushes Lewis on whether overcoming vengeance causes an entrepreneur or investor to lose their edge. Lewis gently pivots the psychoanalysis back to Rippling and Parker.10:01–16:42 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The Compound Startup Model and Disrupting SaaS Stebbings questions Lewis's thesis on global expansion, citing European regulatory complexities and referencing Frank Slootman. Lewis acknowledges the challenge and suggests asking Parker directly.16:42–20:15 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Investment Strategy: Underwriting 10X and Capital Risk Stebbings asks about outcome scenario planning, giving Lewis space to outline Bedrock's 10x underwriting model and the preferred equity stack versus revenue curve.20:15–25:19 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Underwriting Losses and the Strategy Behind Uncapped Notes Stebbings confronts Lewis about breaking his own firm's rule against uncapped notes. Lewis explains how Parker's fundraising mastery made uncapped notes a tactically cheaper entry point.25:19–29:30 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Series B Screw-Up: Analysis Paralysis in March 2020 Stebbings prompts Lewis to reflect on Bedrock's Series B mistake. Lewis candidly recounts their analysis paralysis during the March 2020 COVID lockdowns and getting kicked to the curb.29:30–37:13 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Series D, Macro Shifts, and Recycling Crypto Profits Stebbings asks sharp questions about pricing uncertainty and recycling crypto gains instead of returning cash to LPs. Lewis reveals that LPs didn't react to earlier cash distributions, justifying full recycling.37:13–40:25 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Navigating a Downturn: Doing More with Less Stebbings asks whether venture capitalists must be inherently optimistic to succeed. Lewis reframes the point, arguing that durable success requires balancing optimism with sharp internal pessimism.40:25–47:04 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Growth Investing, Capital Concentration, and Team Culture Stebbings questions the true value added by growth VCs at Series D and cites Brian Seaman on capital concentration. Lewis freely admits that growth VCs add very little value at this stage.0:08–4:02 · Harry pushing back 0/10 Meeting Parker Conrad and the Early Years Stebbings introduces the episode warmly and prompts Lewis to share his long-standing history with Parker Conrad. Lewis provides a detailed account of early pitches, passing on Zenefits, and founding Bedrock.4:02–10:01 · Harry pushing back 3/10 Parker Conrad's Vengeance and Entrepreneurial Motivations Stebbings pushes Lewis on whether overcoming vengeance causes an entrepreneur or investor to lose their edge. Lewis gently pivots the psychoanalysis back to Rippling and Parker.10:01–16:42 · Harry pushing back 4/10 The Compound Startup Model and Disrupting SaaS Stebbings questions Lewis's thesis on global expansion, citing European regulatory complexities and referencing Frank Slootman. Lewis acknowledges the challenge and suggests asking Parker directly.16:42–20:15 · Harry pushing back 1/10 Investment Strategy: Underwriting 10X and Capital Risk Stebbings asks about outcome scenario planning, giving Lewis space to outline Bedrock's 10x underwriting model and the preferred equity stack versus revenue curve.20:15–25:19 · Harry pushing back 2/10 Underwriting Losses and the Strategy Behind Uncapped Notes Stebbings confronts Lewis about breaking his own firm's rule against uncapped notes. Lewis explains how Parker's fundraising mastery made uncapped notes a tactically cheaper entry point.25:19–29:30 · Harry pushing back 2/10 The Series B Screw-Up: Analysis Paralysis in March 2020 Stebbings prompts Lewis to reflect on Bedrock's Series B mistake. Lewis candidly recounts their analysis paralysis during the March 2020 COVID lockdowns and getting kicked to the curb.29:30–37:13 · Harry pushing back 3/10 Series D, Macro Shifts, and Recycling Crypto Profits Stebbings asks sharp questions about pricing uncertainty and recycling crypto gains instead of returning cash to LPs. Lewis reveals that LPs didn't react to earlier cash distributions, justifying full recycling.37:13–40:25 · Harry pushing back 2/10 Navigating a Downturn: Doing More with Less Stebbings asks whether venture capitalists must be inherently optimistic to succeed. Lewis reframes the point, arguing that durable success requires balancing optimism with sharp internal pessimism.40:25–47:04 · Harry pushing back 2/10 Growth Investing, Capital Concentration, and Team Culture Stebbings questions the true value added by growth VCs at Series D and cites Brian Seaman on capital concentration. Lewis freely admits that growth VCs add very little value at this stage.

speaking balance: gold is Harry, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Harry 18.5% · guest 81.5%0:00 · Harry 18.5% · guest 81.5%3:00 · Harry 10.8% · guest 89.2%3:00 · Harry 10.8% · guest 89.2%6:00 · Harry 13.7% · guest 86.3%6:00 · Harry 13.7% · guest 86.3%9:00 · Harry 12.8% · guest 87.2%9:00 · Harry 12.8% · guest 87.2%12:00 · Harry 10.8% · guest 89.2%12:00 · Harry 10.8% · guest 89.2%15:00 · Harry 37.2% · guest 62.8%15:00 · Harry 37.2% · guest 62.8%18:00 · Harry 20.1% · guest 79.9%18:00 · Harry 20.1% · guest 79.9%21:00 · Harry 13.6% · guest 86.4%21:00 · Harry 13.6% · guest 86.4%24:00 · Harry 9.1% · guest 90.9%24:00 · Harry 9.1% · guest 90.9%27:00 · Harry 9.5% · guest 90.5%27:00 · Harry 9.5% · guest 90.5%30:00 · Harry 3.7% · guest 96.3%30:00 · Harry 3.7% · guest 96.3%33:00 · Harry 38.7% · guest 61.3%33:00 · Harry 38.7% · guest 61.3%36:00 · Harry 17.7% · guest 82.3%36:00 · Harry 17.7% · guest 82.3%39:00 · Harry 23% · guest 77%39:00 · Harry 23% · guest 77%42:00 · Harry 34.8% · guest 65.2%42:00 · Harry 34.8% · guest 65.2%45:00 · Harry 13.5% · guest 86.5%45:00 · Harry 13.5% · guest 86.5%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 8:39 Deflecting Host Psychoanalysis

Lewis firmly shuts down Stebbings' personal line of questioning about his edge, pointing out that the podcast should focus on Parker and Rippling rather than psychoanalyzing the two of them.

Hardest push from Harry ▶ 15:29 Pushing Back on European Expansion

Stebbings directly challenges Lewis's thesis that Rippling can easily displace European payroll competitors, highlighting country-by-country regulatory hurdles.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 36:03 LP Psychology on Distributions vs Recycling

Lewis educates Stebbings on LP behavior, sharing that sending back a 10x cash return produced no LP gratitude, which informed Bedrock's decision to recycle crypto gains into Rippling.

Harry holds his own ▶ 15:29 Stebbings Demonstrates Market Expertise

Stebbings demonstrates domain expertise by citing local European compliance barriers and applying Frank Slootman's strategy on focus versus expansion.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicHarry as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementHarry pushing backWhy
Meeting Parker Conrad and the Early Years 1110 Stebbings introduces the episode warmly and prompts Lewis to share his long-standing history with Parker Conrad. Lewis provides a detailed account of early pitches, passing on Zenefits, and founding Bedrock.
Parker Conrad's Vengeance and Entrepreneurial Motivations 2223 Stebbings pushes Lewis on whether overcoming vengeance causes an entrepreneur or investor to lose their edge. Lewis gently pivots the psychoanalysis back to Rippling and Parker.
The Compound Startup Model and Disrupting SaaS 4324 Stebbings questions Lewis's thesis on global expansion, citing European regulatory complexities and referencing Frank Slootman. Lewis acknowledges the challenge and suggests asking Parker directly.
Investment Strategy: Underwriting 10X and Capital Risk 2221 Stebbings asks about outcome scenario planning, giving Lewis space to outline Bedrock's 10x underwriting model and the preferred equity stack versus revenue curve.
Underwriting Losses and the Strategy Behind Uncapped Notes 3422 Stebbings confronts Lewis about breaking his own firm's rule against uncapped notes. Lewis explains how Parker's fundraising mastery made uncapped notes a tactically cheaper entry point.
The Series B Screw-Up: Analysis Paralysis in March 2020 2112 Stebbings prompts Lewis to reflect on Bedrock's Series B mistake. Lewis candidly recounts their analysis paralysis during the March 2020 COVID lockdowns and getting kicked to the curb.
Series D, Macro Shifts, and Recycling Crypto Profits 4423 Stebbings asks sharp questions about pricing uncertainty and recycling crypto gains instead of returning cash to LPs. Lewis reveals that LPs didn't react to earlier cash distributions, justifying full recycling.
Navigating a Downturn: Doing More with Less 3212 Stebbings asks whether venture capitalists must be inherently optimistic to succeed. Lewis reframes the point, arguing that durable success requires balancing optimism with sharp internal pessimism.
Growth Investing, Capital Concentration, and Team Culture 4212 Stebbings questions the true value added by growth VCs at Series D and cites Brian Seaman on capital concentration. Lewis freely admits that growth VCs add very little value at this stage.

Statements from this episode (19)

Assertion Supported
Parker Conrad Was Fired from SigFig Before Co-Founding Zenefits
“And this was actually the first company that Parker co-founded. But Parker had been fired from Sigfig right before I took the pitch.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 1:01
Insight
Lewis: Vengeance is a crucial motivator for historic entrepreneurs
“I think the greatest entrepreneurs in history, and this is a sort of declassé thing to say, it's not really a appropriate thing to say, but I'm going to say it anyways. I think the greatest entrepreneurs in history, it's this combination of a life's work surfa…”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 5:18
Opinion
Lewis: Parker Conrad is the most vengeance-driven founder he has backed
“And Parker has that in spades more than any entrepreneur I've backed. He's got it.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 8:14
Disclosure
Bedrock quadrupled down on Rippling by co-leading its Series D
“And the value proposition is uniquely suited, I think, to our times, which was part of why we decided to, you know, Quadruple into the company by co-leading that Series D round earlier this year.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 11:19
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewis: Rippling will become the AdWords for SaaS software distribution
“In March of twenty-twenty-two, Parker and the company articulated a very specific and detailed product roadmap around how they can really become, through their employee graph, over time, I don't think he would phrase it this way, but I'm going to, the AdWords …”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 13:34
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewis: Rippling will dominate globally without leaving room for European clones
“Why does some of these European payroll and HR, workforce management companies, not knocking on Europe, but why do you need a rippling for Europe? There's no Airbnb for Europe. There's no Google for Europe. Why do you need a rippling for Europe? Why do you nee…”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 15:09
Insight
Lewis: Bedrock underwrites for a 10x return without projecting beyond that
“First question always, is there a 10 X from here? Can we gain conviction through a bust analysis that if things go right, there is a 10 X from here? So that's our work. We don't try to project beyond that, but we do always ask the question, is there a 10 X fro…”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 17:04
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewis: Rippling's preferred stack will grow linearly or sublinearly relative to revenue
“Because of their approach to product building and go to market, I believe the preferred stack Grows either linearly or sub linearly versus revenue over time versus hyper linearly.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 19:16
Assertion Supported
Lewis: Rippling reached nine-figure ARR with nearly 3x annual growth
“Now they're already at, you know, nine figures of air are growing extremely fast. They grew almost three acts over the past. 1212 months.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 19:30
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lewis: Bedrock's VC loss ratio is under 50 basis points
“We at Bedrock have only lost a few million dollars. You know, we've invested hundreds of millions of dollars over almost five years at this point. I think our loss ratio is less than 50 basis points, so we, we've lost almost no money.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 20:49
Insight
Lewis: Deploying capital via uncapped notes is not real investing
“Uncapped notes aren't actually investing. That's why I hate them. Investing is You know, you should know the price you're paying. That's what an investment is. It's not an investment if you don't know what the price you're paying is for the security.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 24:06
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lewis: Bedrock refuses to participate in competitive VC fundraising processes
“By the time a company's in a formal financing process, it's kind of dead to us. Like, we still love it, we still love the entrepreneurs, but once they've circulated a memo to 12 VC firms, we're not engaging.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 24:42
Disclosure
Lewis: Bedrock lost Rippling's Series B after trying to lower agreed valuation
“We agreed on evaluation with Parker. He's like, send me the term sheet. I'm ready to sign. And we were like, wait, Like all of their business at the time was SMBs. Now, since then they've extended, expanded surface area phenomenally into mid-market. They're st…”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 26:38
Disclosure
Bedrock accumulated Rippling secondary shares leading up to catalyzing its Series D
“And after that screw up, we opportunistically bought secondary. Predominantly preferred secondary, because part of our thesis is this is going to be a relatively small preferred stack for the scale of the company that they're building at several junctures, and…”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 28:33
Disclosure
Bedrock exited Bitcoin and Ethereum to fund its investment in Rippling
“And so we traded out of Bitcoin and Ethereum via our second fund and for it, right before the crash for a great multiple and recycled those proceeds to fund our rippling investment.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 34:28
Disclosure
Bedrock returned over 10x cash to Fund One LPs from crypto
“So we returned a 10 plus X life to date multiple on our Bitcoin and Ethereum investments on fund one. To our LPs in cash. Nobody even emailed us to thank us.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 36:06
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lewis: Rippling customers need no payroll admins under 1,000 employees
“Rippling customers don't need to hire dedicated payroll administrators until they're over a thousand employees.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 38:03
Disclosure
Geoff Lewis: Bedrock deployed 20% of first three funds into Rippling
“It's around 20% of those first three funds now. All in is rippling across all of our investments.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 42:15
Disclosure
Geoff Lewis: Bedrock heavily concentrated capital in Rippling, Vercel, and Flock Safety
“So we've concentrated capital in Rippling, Vercel, and Flock Safety to an extreme degree.”
Geoff Lewis Oct 5, 2022 ▶ 42:40
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