why aren't all 26 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Institutional Investors Own Over 25% of Atlanta Housing Stock
“All you have to do is look at certain concentrated areas, and you look at a place like Atlanta, where more than 25% of the housing stock is owned by large institutional investors.”
Assertion Contradicted
Fifield: Landlords Can Remove Affordable Housing Designations by Moving Children In
“You can also use the Ellis act. And if you have your children that are living in this building, you can take affordable housing and make it market rate housing.”
Assertion Contradicted
David Bailey claims real estate prices have fallen to 2015 levels
“The last 10 years of appreciation as of today have been wiped out. We are back to prices that we haven't seen since 2015.”
Assertion Contradicted
David Bailey claims San Francisco has 78 new AI-driven billionaires
“There are currently 78 new billionaires in the city of San Francisco, all as a result of AI.”
Assertion Contradicted
Art stored in international freeports like Geneva avoids capital gains tax
“Artists considered immune from capital gains tax, okay? If you sell your shares in, in a stock, you're taxed. Sell your Picasso, untouchable. You go into another country, now you put it into Geneva into a Freeport, you're not taxed, and that's legit.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: 98% of prostate cancer cases are indolent and non-lethal
“98% of prostate cancer is what is referred to as indolent, which means it essentially will not kill you.”
Assertion Contradicted
Stepp: Lenders Cap Commercial Real Estate Leverage at 50%
“Nobody's getting more than 50% loan. On anything. Underwriting.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Institutional buyers own over 20% of Atlanta housing stock
“In Atlanta, it was upwards of 20% or more of the whole housing stock was owned by institutional buyers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Los Angeles Average Real Estate Cap Rate Is About 3%
“And again, when I do the statistical analysis, I'm finding a cap rate of about three percent on average for Los Angeles.”
Assertion Contradicted
Taylor: Only two manufacturers make every brand of skateboard
“If you look at a actual skateboard, there's only two manufacturers that make every single skateboard, but there's a hundred different brands.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kuno: Americans Over 70 Take an Average of 20 Medications
“Interestingly in the U S here, when you're over the age of 70, you have about 20 medications.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Curing prostate cancer would lower all-cause mortality by 1%
“Curing prostate cancer would lower all cause mortality by one percent.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Morris: Caruso will reopen Palisades Village in December
“Caruso is going to open the village back up in December.”
Assertion Contradicted
Johnson: AirDNA estimates gross revenue by scraping blocked calendar dates
“What you have to know about how these tools estimate income is they're basically scraping
The prices from existing Airbnbs. And so let's say that you have an Airbnb with Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday open, right? At 300 dollars a night. And then the next day the …”
Assertion Contradicted
Only a few global representatives have retail access to Kehinde Wiley artworks
“It's only a couple of reps around the world that have direct access and that sell them at retail.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lane: Abilene, Texas Was AirDNA's Top Investment Market This Year
“Our top market this year ended up being Abilene, Texas.”
Assertion Contradicted
Mike Lazerow: More Than Half of Liquid Death Customers Are Women
“Over half the customers right now are women.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Multifamily construction starts are down 70% from peak
“Multifamily construction starts are down 70%. From peak, that's the lowest since 2013.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: US real estate averaged 4.5% appreciation over the last 15 years
“Last 15 years, you know, real estate as a whole has gone up four and a half percent.”
Assertion Contradicted
Publisher Benedict Taschen rejects all 2,500 unsolicited book submissions he receives monthly
“He has 2500 submissions a month. And he said, we say no to every single one of them.”
Assertion Contradicted
Muller holds four patents on custom underwater strobe lights
“Most powerful underwater strobe lights in the world. And I got four patents on them.”
Assertion Contradicted
Muller: Huberman's lab found Yoga Nidra induces conscious theta brainwaves
“Yoga nidra is a form of meditation. My buddy Huberman, Andrew Huberman, the neuroscience guy, his team studied it. Couple years ago, and found that you get to Theta while conscious.”
Assertion Contradicted
Safferis: Venice Beach home sold for $980K in one day
“And I go, if I can get nine 80, I'm leaving. And he goes, you're getting more than 30% what anyone else has ever got in your, in this area. And I go, well, that's what it's going to take for me to leave. And I sold it in a day.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Frank Gehry was the first architect to use corrugated steel
“And he also did corrugated. I think he was the first guy that did like the corrugated steel.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lee: Beverly Hills Property Bought for $1.2M in 2010 Sold for $12M
“That house just sold for like, I don't know, twelve million dollars. We got that for 1.2 million dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Morris: Abbot Kinney neighborhood homes now sell for $5M+
“Houses right in that same neighborhood, the five million dollars. Or more.”