why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cera: Top Polsia company made $3K–$4K; 10% made at least $1
“Like the max revenue I saw in the company is like a few thousand dollars, like three, three, 4000 dollars, right? There's 10% of companies that made at least a dollar.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cera: Polsia is operating at a $10M annual run rate
“Ten million run rate.”
Opinion
Cera: Anthropic and OpenAI narrow their thinking when asked to design
“Unfortunately, Entropic and OpenAI, if you ask them to design stuff, they kind of narrow the thinking.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ben Cera: Polsia loses roughly 50% of users in month two
“So month two last time I checked was also, yeah I don't know how they go to the numbers, though, but anyways yeah, month last time I checked was like, was another 50%.”
Disclosure
Cera: Polsia is intentionally named 'AI SLOP' spelled backwards
“Well, it's a SLOP backwards, and the whole concept, when I explained it to investors, when I was raising the precede, is like, we're aiming at doing the opposite of SLOP. We're trying to, like, create tools that outputs Beauty that output great things that emp…”
Disclosure
Cera: Polsia shut down cross-agent memory after users weaponized shared skills
“So right now, first of all, we killed all memory files. We were like, you know what? Let's clean up memory because it's a good idea, but like it's got weaponized. So we killed the memory.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cera: Polsia's monthly Anthropic bill reached $1.5M
“It was 1.5 million last month.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cera: Polsia charged $1 per task while compute cost $30-$50
“And so, so I would pay, I would, you know, I would charge the customer a dollar a task or something, and then it would cost me 30 dollars, 50 dollars per task.”
Disclosure
Cera: Polsia will stop supporting native cold outreach from its platform domain
“And so Polesia.app probably will not do call.reach soon. We're just migrating.”
Disclosure
Cera: Polsia is buying GPU infrastructure to run proprietary models
“Doing a ton of work to, like, trying to explore more affordable models, buying my own GPU infrastructure in order to, like, being able to run models, burn my own models that can be much more affordable for what I'm trying to do.”
Disclosure
Cera plans to build a marketplace to buy and sell AI businesses
“And I think it's a, it's something that like I want to build. It's, and essentially it would be a marketplace feature where essentially I tell the user, hey you are putting your dashboard publicly, right? So now you're sharing all your stats, all your revenue,…”
Disclosure
Cera: Polsia generates roughly 15% of revenue from ads
“It was a higher, higher percentage before, but yeah, now, now it's about, yeah, it's about like 15. I think it's, I don't know the exact latest number, but like around 15%, I would say. Of revenue comes from ads, because now we have, ah, the majority of revenu…”
Disclosure
Cera: Polsia raised a $30M round after launch
“And I used that money to build Polsia and then to launch it, and then after I launched it, I raised that new thirty million dollar round.”