why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Gil: OpenAI and Anthropic are fastest companies ever to $10B revenue
“OpenAI, Anthropic, and others are the fastest companies to ten billion dollars in revenue basically ever, right?”
Assertion Contradicted
Walls: Sam Altman said polite user prompts cost billions
“I think that Sam Altman one time said that even if you add a nice little thing at the end, it costs them all this. They're spending billions just because people are being nice.”
Assertion Supported
Ries: Anthropic Founders Left OpenAI Over AI Safety Dispute
“I met the Anthropik team when they first left OpenAI, and they, you know, they left over a dispute With OpenAI over you know, exactly how to pursue the question of AI safety.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dan Shipper: GPT-4 and Claude Opus beat human experts in blindly judged benchmarks
“They found that GPT-V is better than experts, like blindly judged better than experts at completing these tasks like 40% of the time, and I think Claude Opus is at 40, at 49%”
Assertion Supported
Dan Shipper: OpenAI awarded Every a plaque for processing 10 billion tokens
“Like yesterday I was at Dev Day, OpenAI Dev Day, and I got this like cool plaque that was like, you've processed ten billion tokens through, through OpenAI, which is, it was so cool.”
Assertion Supported
Tan: OpenAI Was Spun Out of YC Research by Sam Altman
“OpenAI itself was a spin-out from YC research by, ah, Sam Altman.”