The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Gil: OpenAI and Anthropic are fastest companies ever to $10B revenue
“OpenAI, Anthropic, and others are the fastest companies to ten billion dollars in revenue basically ever, right?”
Elad Gil Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 10:19 #2297 Elad Gil backed 40 unicorns. This is next
Assertion Contradicted
Walls: Sam Altman said polite user prompts cost billions
“I think that Sam Altman one time said that even if you add a nice little thing at the end, it costs them all this. They're spending billions just because people are being nice.”
Pat Walls Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 27:46 #2294 He Claude Code: Build Me a YouTube Replacement
Assertion Supported
Ries: Anthropic Founders Left OpenAI Over AI Safety Dispute
“I met the Anthropik team when they first left OpenAI, and they, you know, they left over a dispute With OpenAI over you know, exactly how to pursue the question of AI safety.”
Eric Ries May 30, 2026 ▶ 1:14 #2307 Eric Ries: Why Anthropic Won and How To Build Incurruptible companies
Assertion Partly supported
Dan Shipper: GPT-4 and Claude Opus beat human experts in blindly judged benchmarks
“They found that GPT-V is better than experts, like blindly judged better than experts at completing these tasks like 40% of the time, and I think Claude Opus is at 40, at 49%”
Dan Shipper Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 40:31 #2283 How Dan Shipper uses AI to build artisanal AI apps
Assertion Supported
Dan Shipper: OpenAI awarded Every a plaque for processing 10 billion tokens
“Like yesterday I was at Dev Day, OpenAI Dev Day, and I got this like cool plaque that was like, you've processed ten billion tokens through, through OpenAI, which is, it was so cool.”
Dan Shipper Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 12:52 #2283 How Dan Shipper uses AI to build artisanal AI apps
Assertion Supported
Tan: OpenAI Was Spun Out of YC Research by Sam Altman
“OpenAI itself was a spin-out from YC research by, ah, Sam Altman.”
Garry Tan Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 5:20 #2281 Garry Tan: Y Combinator Startups Growing 5X Faster – Here’s What Changed
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