why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 11 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jan 2030
Milkman: Hiring in batches leads to more diverse teams than one-off hiring
“What we have shown in our research is that when people hire in sets, meaning, you know, let's hire five at a time as, you know, everybody will bring on all our new folks together. We'll hire five people all at once in April instead of sort of one person per mo…”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Sep 2026
Three-quarters of Autodesk's leadership left or was fired after Anagnost became CEO
“I think three quarters of the leadership team was either, either, you know, left on their own or were asked to leave.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jan 2026
Hoffman: Gates demanded GPT pass AP Biology to prove its utility
“We'd gotten the demand from him to say, man, challenge to say, hey, I'll believe you have general purpose, you know, and that's not AGI, but it's like a good general purpose functional technology. If without special training, you can pass the AP bio exam at a …”
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2025
Botsman: 80% of Leaders Regret Keeping Distrustful Employees Too Long
“It's 80% of leaders regret how long they've kept someone on their team that distrusts them, because they are causing not just damage, but you think about, like, the mental consumption, right?”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe May 2025
John Green: Reducing poverty cuts tuberculosis rates without medical intervention
“We know that when we cut the rates of impoverishment, even without medical intervention, we cut the rates of TB.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Apr 2025
Carvalho: Employees rank wellness benefits as important as base salary
“When we survey employees in general, not only clients, You know, they're ranking wellness and well-being as being as important a salary to them.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Dec 2023
Hoffman published the first book on AI co-written with GPT-4
“Last year I published the first book on AI, co-written with AI. My co-writer was GPT-IV.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Mar 2023
Hoffman: Mayer assigned 22-year-old first APM hire Brian Rakowski to lead Gmail
“Marissa found her first APM hire, twenty-two-year-old Brian Rakowski, fresh out of college. What project did Marissa choose to ease him in on? She gave him the whole of Gmail.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Oct 2026
Ali: Convenience and gas station stores account for nearly half of jerky sales
“If you think about, you know, the jerky category, nearly half of it is in what they say, C store, like convenience, right? Small format travel gas station. And so That's all white space for us.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2025
John Green: India accounts for nearly one-third of global TB deaths
“Almost a third of the people who die of tuberculosis this year will die in India.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe May 2024
Sweetgreen currently operates 230 individual restaurant locations
“Our business is 230 individual restaurants”