supercuts / ai-predictions
Every big AI prediction
AGI timelines, model wars, who wins. As said, when said. · 20 clips, 5 minutes, hands free.
0:00 / 0:27exact quote · 27.9s
1/20AI research and development will be fully automated by early 2029
Ryan Greenblatt · 2026full source →
1AI research and development will be fully automated by early 2029Ryan Greenblatt · 28s
2Misaligned AI will competently scheme and take over in 2029Ryan Greenblatt · 18sOpen
3Patel: AI software industry could hit $100 billion ARR this yearDylan Patel · 8sOpen
4Top AI models will work autonomously for full days within two yearsJulian Schrittwieser · 8sHeld up
5AI will make Nobel Prize-level scientific discoveries by 2027 or 2028Julian Schrittwieser · 26s
6Douglas: Anthropic believes AGI is reachable in a couple of yearsSholto Douglas · 5s
7Douglas: AI industry will reach human-level computer capabilities in 2-3 yearsSholto Douglas · 24sOpen
8Srinivas: Google will lose its single search monopoly in the conversational eraAravind Srinivas · 9s
9Patel: Without AI leadership, China will overtake the US as hegemonDylan Patel · 5s
10Valenzuela: Unified AI models will render specialized video task models completely obsoleteCris Valenzuela · 9s
11Pedregal predicts cross-meeting AI research will drive massive value for GranolaChris Pedregal · 27s
12Dohmke: No single AI model will ever dominate software developmentThomas Dohmke · 8s
13Douetteau: Enterprises will always need traditional predictive ML modelsFlorian Douetteau · 11s
14Socher: AI will give every child a personal tutor within yearsRichard Socher · 13s
15Socher: There will never be another severe AI winterRichard Socher · 6s
16Future AI systems will rely on small, dedicated models for routine tasksDaniel Dines · 57s
17Pesenti: Deepfake detection will never be a solved problemJerome Pesenti · 15s
18Pesenti in 2020: 10x annual AI compute scaling is economically unsustainableJerome Pesenti · 5sHeld up
19Socher: AI will do for biology what calculus did for physicsRichard Socher · 15s
20Socher predicts AI will reach superhuman capabilities in any domain with simulationRichard Socher · 17s