why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stanislas Polu: If transformative AI arrives in 5 to 10 years, OpenAI will likely build it
“But if it takes five years or 10 years, then that's probably where it's gonna happen.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Polu: Enterprise AI adoption will scale via product, not custom services
“I think all of that can probably scale through product and not necessarily handholding and kind of custom work with our clients eventually.”
Assertion Supported
Mistral and Poolside funding is a trickle compared to OpenAI, says Polu
“It's already awesome that Mistral was able to raise that much, that Toolside is able to raise that much, but it's a trickle compared to what Open Air is raising, compared to what Anthropik is raising.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Polu: Stripe had no product managers when it reached 80 employees
“When we joined at People. There were very limited number of managers, very limited number of product manager. I think it was a forbidden word at the time. So no product manager that, that function was kind of covered by engineers and managers or engine manager…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Polu: AI model costs will fall, making heavy token usage profitable
“Because the cost will go down. So that's fine. Even if you're losing money today, you'll be winning some, I mean, earning some money tomorrow.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Polu: OpenAI combined research and engineering early with fluid career ladders
“I think I saw the transition from research to research plus engineering being the ingredients into building the largest and best models. But even very early on OpenAI was very open on the fact that you could be one or the other Quite fluidly and changed betwee…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stanislas Polu's startup was Stripe's first European customer
“We knew them because we were the first European users.”