why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stata predicts IT infrastructure will move to the cloud by 2026
“My personal view is, you know, 10 years from now, where it's going is clear, and I think that, when I started the company, companies like Bloomberg, for example, would say, no way, no how, we'll never do anything like, you know, like, you know, big data in the…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stata predicts all companies will become internet companies
“I believe everybody, all companies are going to become internet companies.”
Insight
Stata: Perks like foosball and free food do not define internet companies
“What I do not mean is that, hey, install foosball tables, have free food, and growth will follow. That's not what defines an internet company, especially in this context.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stata: Internet company system architecture transfers directly to traditional enterprises
“Now when you, when the onstage kind of becomes buildings and printers and trucks, you know, my claim is that this architecture really doesn't change. And a lot of what we learned from an from an architecture and system design perspective will transfer fairly d…”
Insight
Stata: Sophisticated experimentation relies on ladders from cheap to definitive tests
“As you get more sophisticated at running experiments, what you do is you build these ladders of experiments, where at the bottom rungs of the ladder, the experiments are cheap you know, and, but the outcomes are a little bit more questionable. As you get to th…”
Insight
Production A/B testing at Yahoo and Facebook is a costly experiment
“If you think about A-B testing, that lives much more at the top of the ladder than at the bottom. You know, to actually get to the point where you're, If you're doing A-B testing in production at a large company like Yahoo or Facebook, you have to implement th…”
Insight
Stata: Enterprise transformation is social engineering, not technical engineering
“While that data infrastructure certainly is a bit of a blocker, right, to transforming your business, actually changing business processes is, is much harder, right? That's a social engineering exercise. It's not a technical engineering exercise, and those tak…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Real-time reinforcement learning outperformed predictive click models at Yahoo
“Instead of trying to predict what people would like, let's, let's, let's run experiments in real time and see what people click on. And that turned out to generate very good click through rates.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yahoo combined human editors with reinforcement learning for content personalization
“Where this ultimately went then was kind of a system that, that Brought man and machine together, where the editors would propose anywhere from 20 to hundred, and over time, 200 different stories that they think might be good. And the reinforcement learning wo…”
Disclosure
Stata: Altiscale joined SAP to enable deeper business process transformation
“And so we were required by SAP a few months ago, and for me, that was a big part of the thesis there, that SAP You know, has a lot more experience and a lot more capability to help drive into customers changes at the business process level than we ever could a…”