The Ledger

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

What-if

Lambert: Scaling AI 10x alters post-training, not pre-training methods

“If like, if we were to train a model that was 10 times as big, like all this post-training stuff would change. But the pre-training And mid training and long contacts, I think would actually become looking pretty similar.”

Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 40:55 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"

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The Ledger

Turn any episode into a week of clips.