why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moonhub clients report 80% of candidates are unique to the platform
“When they use Moonhub, they tell us, hey, you know, you've been able to show me, like, 80% of the candidates that I found through you I haven't found in any other platform and they tend to be more diverse.”
Assertion Partly supported
Index Ventures sets up individual mini-funds for founders like Dylan Field
“So at a couple of years, you know, ago, Mike, Mike was like, oh, you should definitely think about index has this thing called they make funds for people basically like individual funds. So I think like, for example, Dylan at Figma also has one of these funds …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Major LLM labs are internally building unreleased hybrid retrieval frameworks
“Some of the bigger LLM companies I've talked to are building this internally right now. It's just not released yet.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will enable non-experts to execute traditional expert workflows
“I think the real power of AI for In, in the next one or two years is enabling these non-experts to be able to participate in the workflows that traditionally experts will do.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Moonhub AI will likely handle all five recruiting stages by mid-2024
“Today, you know, the AI can't do all five stages of the process I mentioned to you. It might do stage one, stage two, We'll probably get to stage five by mid next year, but in the interim, you have a human who's actually helping you with all those other stages…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Data confirms most US machine learning engineers live in the Bay Area
“Our team has mapped out where all the ML engineers in the US are, and it turns out the majority of them are in the Bay Area”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The prompt engineer title jumped to roughly 1,000 SF workers in 2023
“If you look at the data, it's, like, basically until twenty-twenty-three, no one called themselves a prompt engineer, and then twenty-twenty-three, all of a sudden, a thousand people in SF are now a prompt engineer”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moonhub indexes data on one billion people across the public web
“We index about one billion people's data across the public web.”
Assertion Supported
Over 100 US recruiting agencies generate more than $100 million annually
“There's more than a hundred recruiting agencies in the United States that each make more than a hundred million in revenue a year.”