why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Habib predicts AI will be able to run companies within five years
“This is AI that in three to five years is going to be able to run companies.”
Insight
Enterprise AI drives 500% capacity shifts, not just 10% productivity gains
“None of this is about productivity, right? You being able to go through Three decades of consumer research on Listerine to be able to develop a new flavor, right? You being able to develop all of the go to market around that new product in literally a third of…”
Insight
Vector RAG struggles with nested tables and overlapping context, Habib explains
“When you are doing a vector-based approach, you're going through, and you are, you've chunked Right, that policy, and, you know, against the prompt, you are trying to find the most relevant chunks, right, in that policy, which means it does really badly, right…”
Assertion Contradicted
Vector RAG requires full re-indexing for single-file updates, Habib claims
“And when that policy, even one policy gets updated, you're throwing away the entire embedding store and starting over.”
Disclosure
Writer trained its Palmyra X 004 model using just $700k in compute
“Just on GPUs, but yeah.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A customer rebuilt Habib's previous startup Qordoba over a single weekend
“We had a customer basically in a weekend rebuild Cordoba using Writer.”
Disclosure
Writer relied on GPT-3 for only a brief three-month period
“So we, we've always had our own technology down to the LLM. There was a very brief period, literally like three months, where we, for some of our apps, used GPT-III because it was just so much better.”
Disclosure
Writer stores its knowledge graph as flat JSON in Postgres
“I mean, it is a flat JSON file. This is stored in a Postgres database. It's not even, A graph database.”
Disclosure
Writer provides 1B randomized tokens for customers to audit copyright compliance
“We give folks, this is another reason we build our own models, a billion randomized tokens that they can query themselves to validate that we use copyright free information and that, you know, our bias and toxicity distribution is what we say it is”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A Fortune 50 CIO personally demoed an eight-person AI startup
“I mean, literally, I was talking to a CIO yesterday. Fortune 50 had just taken personally a demo from an eight-person startup, because people are so curious.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hyperscalers spend more on single enterprises than AI startups raise total
“The consultancies and the strategic advisory firms and every hyperscaler can literally throw more innovation dollars at the enterprise than you will raise in three years from venture capital, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
L'Oréal had built around 180 applications using Writer by late 2023
“This was L'Oreal about a year ago, you know, literally like a 180 apps, and we needed help, right?”