why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mann: Output verification will be the primary blocker for enterprise LLM deployments
“I think that's gonna be one of these evergreen problems, ah, for LLMs, and we're gonna, you know, keep trying to chew on that, ah, for a while, but that's gonna be the big blocker of a lot of the further deployments.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mann: Every software application user interface will eventually integrate an LLM
“You can imagine that every point of interface with software application, there's gonna be a point to have a large language Model in that point of interface, and I think all of those will be interesting and useful”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mann: Human intelligence is overrated, making the path to AGI more plausible
“I kind of think human intelligence is a little bit overrated. So I think I'm a little more bullish on AGI. Someone wrote, you know the large, I think it was Ilya Sutskever, you know, maybe the largest models are slightly conscious. I'm not sure I disagree. So …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mann: LLMs will outperform decades of prior enterprise search techniques
“When I look at the, you know, all of the LLM technology, large language model technology, it seems like it will get closer than any of the things that, that, you know, the field has been doing for the past few decades.”