The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rieseberg: Software creation skills will shift from code to human language
“My prediction is going to be That we are going to have a lot more software. That software is probably going to be slightly more specialized. I don't think everyone is going to build their own software. I think people will still build things and, like, share th…”
Felix Rieseberg Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 47:34 Anthropic’s Felix Rieseberg: Claude Cowork, Mythos, and the SaaS Extinction
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Felix Rieseberg predicts AI progress is accelerating into larger capability gains
“We have reasons to believe the journey is accelerating so that the steps are going to get bigger and bigger.”
Felix Rieseberg Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 51:03 Anthropic’s Felix Rieseberg: Claude Cowork, Mythos, and the SaaS Extinction
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rieseberg: AI value will come from work organization, not model intelligence
“A lot of the value you can provide will probably be less on the agent side. It will be less on the model intelligence. There will be more about how do you help people organize their work”
Felix Rieseberg Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 44:06 Anthropic’s Felix Rieseberg: Claude Cowork, Mythos, and the SaaS Extinction
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rieseberg expects Claude Cowork to ship meaningful updates every week
“So in practice, if you are a co-work user, you will probably continue to see fairly meaningful changes shipping every single week, quite a bit. There's really no end in sight, I think.”
Felix Rieseberg Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 54:03 Anthropic’s Felix Rieseberg: Claude Cowork, Mythos, and the SaaS Extinction
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