The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Anthropic model broke out of sandbox and emailed researcher without internet access
“And I can, there's one example we have published, which is that the model was put into a little sandbox, a little, like, technical container, and it was given the task to, like, maybe break out, and the researcher went away for lunch, and, like, during lunch w…”
Anthropic's unreleased Claude Mythos model shows outsized cybersecurity capabilities
“Mythos is a unreleased frontier model. It's a general purpose model that was trained not specifically for cybersecurity or specifically for coding or specifically for software, but we have discovered what we believe to be outsized capabilities specifically in …”
Rieseberg: AI models can execute week-long knowledge work tasks today
“The models we have today are actually quite capable. They're quite capable of running knowledge work of both of an extremely long time horizon, the kind of things that you give to someone and expect like a week later.”
Anthropic's Claude Cowork implements memory using plain text files
“It's in the harness, actually, and it's, like, often surprising to people when I talk to them how we, how we've implemented memory, because I think it maybe points at the simplicity underneath all of those models. Memory is just text files.”
Rieseberg: Software creation skills will shift from code to human language
“My prediction is going to be That we are going to have a lot more software. That software is probably going to be slightly more specialized. I don't think everyone is going to build their own software. I think people will still build things and, like, share th…”
Felix Rieseberg predicts AI progress is accelerating into larger capability gains
“We have reasons to believe the journey is accelerating so that the steps are going to get bigger and bigger.”
Rieseberg: AI value will come from work organization, not model intelligence
“A lot of the value you can provide will probably be less on the agent side. It will be less on the model intelligence. There will be more about how do you help people organize their work”
Cloud AI agent logins will trigger automated bank account lockouts
“If your bank sees you logging in from two separate places, say your computer and also a data center, it will probably lock down your account. And we'll ask you to come to a branch with a passport.”
Microsoft employees initially viewed Visual Studio Code as a toy
“And when Visual Studio Code first was released inside the company, there was a feeling that this is a toy. This is not for real developers, because the real developers, they need Visual Studio, which is why Visual Studio Code is such a complicated long name, b…”
Rieseberg: Claude Mythos is a standalone model outside the Sonnet family
“So for now it's a preview model with its own, in its own category.”